MENU

 

 

KVS (Key-Volume Strategies)

Short Term Market Services and Systems

1734 Brevard Highway Suite 180

Hendersonville NC 28791

 

 Dear Trading Enthusiast:

Key-Volume Strategies Inc (KVS) is in its 42nd year of providing original systems, and related services, to active traders. We do not update our web site frequently because we are in daily contact with subscribers and system purchasers through email hotlines and feedback programs. Our web site serves the purpose of initial contact, so you know what we offer and how long we've been serving Wall Street.

As you become familiar with our work, you'll notice that through these many challenging and eventful years of market rises and declines, our main thrust has been technical innovation.  What we offer is exclusive to our subscribers and system users. KVS products that have stood the test of time most notably, and remain popular in 2011, include:

1. Options "40 In 4", a system invented and launched in 1996, and used continuously since then. We nicknamed it “Op40”. It is  a standalone product to trade SP100 (OEX) calls and puts regularly, with a remarkably small amount of daily attention.  The trading edge formula of Op40 does not even require a computer, and no option watching during the day is called for! For those who prefer to trade SP500 (SPY) options, the correlation is high between similarly priced SP100 and SP500 options, expiring in the current or next month.

2. KVS Market Hotline: Nightly email service with specific short term market bottom and top predictions; support and resistance targets; and market cycle projections.

3. "9 to 1 Edge Finder": An option system similar to, but independent of, "Op40".

All KVS products just mentioned have nightly email services, that announce signals for specific options, and for the DJI (“Dow”). The emails track trades and market targets from recommendation to exit. Changes to targets are reported promptly.

You're welcome to browse KVS products and services under the ===== separator line, but do not take prices for granted: inquire about current availability and cost. We are easy to contact by email: kvshotlines@aol.com or toll free: 877-350-3796. Thank you for discovering KVS!  Ben Sterling and the KVS Systems Staff.

======================================================================================

 

******************************************************************************************************

       KVS  #957  FALL 2008:  1. AUTO TRADE THE KVS OPTION SYSTEM “DTE2008”:  DOWN MARKET TRADE AVERAGE +26%;  2. SHORT TERM MARKET CYCLES: NEW “BEAR PHASE” INEVITABLE;  3. “OP40” YEAR #13!

******************************************************************************************************

 

We have completed our last DTE2008 performance task, to maintain a +25% or better trade average in an environment of “unpredictable” whipsaws. The task was to recognize unusually high risk of loss in advance, and bypass the responsible signals. Period #16 in the 10 month summary below (Oct 2007 into Aug 2008) presented no fewer than 5 real life test cases for the “inevitability” of loss. Indeed, actual trades incurred losses, but our Loss Bypass Screen, developed and back tested as part of this last task, ignored these signals and bypassed the losses. Retroactive application to periods before #16 would have enhanced returns further, but we felt that period #16 by itself sufficed as a proving ground.

 

Your first Bonus as an Auto Trader will be a detailed description of how “inevitable” loss can be recognized in advance, and side stepped.  In your auto trade account, recognizing and side stepping such a high risk profile will be evident from the absence of trade recommendations for certain days. Trade omission rationale will be amplified by educational footnotes. You won’t need to take any special action, the auto trade process will simply not allow certain signals to generate trades. But if you have one or more other trading accounts that you manage yourself: then knowing the Loss Bypass Screen may well become one of your most appreciated assets. --- Here is your 10 month DTE2008 snapshot: it was during this period that the Dow fell 20% (even increased it to 25%), and thereby issued a traditional Bear Market signal:

 

 

PERIOD SIGNAL RANGE  #OF SIG  Q%   R%  COMPOS CUMUL CUM SIGS CUM AVGE

====== ============= ======= ==== ==== ====== ===== ======== ========

   1   OCT 31-NOV 14    11   +265 +295  +280% + 280%    11    + 25%

   2   NOV 15-NOV 30    11   +139 +183  +161% + 441%    22    + 20%

   3   DEC  3-DEC 17    11   +297 +183  +240% + 681%    33    + 21%

   4   DEC 18-JAN  4    11   +241 +259  +250% + 931%    44    + 21%

   5   JAN  7-JAN 22    11   +397 +889  +643% +1574%    55    + 29%

   6   JAN 23-FEB  6    11   +551 +562  +556% +2130%    66    + 32%

   7   FEB  7-FEB 22    11   +153 +  6  + 80% +2210%    77    + 29%

   8   FEB 25-MAR 10    11   +310 +384  +347% +2557%    88    + 29%

   9   MAR 11-MAR 26    11   +331 +404  +368% +2925%    99    + 30%

  10   MAR 27-APR 16    11   +162 +625  +393% +3318%   110    + 30%

  11   APR 17-MAY  2    13   +224 +563  +394% +3712%   123    + 30%

  12   MAY  5-MAY 21    11   +168 + 84  +126% +3838%   134    + 29%

  13   MAY 22-JUN  6    12   + 96 +326  +211% +4049%   146    + 28%   

  14   JUN  9-JUN 24    11   +152 - 41  + 56% +4105%   157    + 26%

  15   JUN 25-JUL 14    11   +233 + 67  +150% +4255%   168    + 25%

  16   JUL 15-AUG  7    12   +187 +535  +361% +4616%   180    + 26%

 

The last entry in the record, in the three right columns, shows that the cumulative gain on 180 traded signals was +4616%. The average gain was +26%: 4616 divided by 180. If you trade index options systematically, with daily attention, this should not surprise you.  Anticipating your questions:   How long does a trade last? One to 4 sessions. How does KVS get a signal? By analyzing price patterns and market movements daily, using original KVS formulas. How does KVS share the signal with its system users? By email near 10PM ET. The email advises, for next day: specific option; specific buy price; specific sell price. If the option is still held at the end of the next day: that night's email advises a new sell price, or stays with the previous.

 

Which index and expiration month does KVS use? All signals are for specific SP100 ("OEX") options, expiring in the current month, unless the time left is less than 2 weeks; in that case the following month is picked. "Can I substitute a different index, if I think it will do better?" SP100 price action correlates well with the price action of other indices. If KVS recommends a call, you buy a call as well, on your chosen index.  If KVS recommends a put, you buy a put as well, on your chosen index. Track KVS results, and your own, for a few days. Be satisfied that you're getting comparable gains. Typically: 

 

The KVS option choice achieves +30% to +40% on a winning trade. Losses are no more than 4 out of 11. Average loss is less than  average gain. These results should be what you get from your chosen index as well, as a minimum. If your choice under performs the KVS choice more often than not: raise or lower your strike price, till your performance is on par. Or simply trade the exact options KVS chooses: any stock broker can buy and sell OEX options, and no margin is needed. Starting capital of $3000 to $5000 is common.

 

Why does KVS measure its system performance in groups of 11 to 13 signals? It takes 2 weeks, sometimes an extra day or two, to get 11 trading signals. Summarizing results for 2 weeks at a time enables frequent performance comparisons, reflecting the system's ability to be consistently profitable, ranging from highly profitable as periods 5 & 6, to modestly or marginally profitable as periods 7 & 14.

 

What do the headings mean for the 5 columns that track the percent achieved?  Q% = Quick Exits. These were sales within 5 sessions (commonly within 3) at predetermined prices. R% = Relaxed Exits. Slower sales, typically 1 day past quick exits, at the opening. Composite = Q% and R% averaged. This is the key performance measure. Cumulative = Composite results cumulated.  Cum Avge = Cumulative Average. Composite results divided by cumulated signals.

 

Do the results for 10 months suggest a trend?  Yes. Note in the last column that the average exceeded +29% for 4 periods (#6, 9, 10, 11), then eased down into the 20's, ending on an up tick with the current +26%. Since DTE2008 was designed to do particularly well in a recessionary or "Bear Market" environment, the fact that results have moved beyond their peaks indicates that the strong hold of the bear has been weakening. If you prefer to trade call options to puts, to benefit from a rising market and improving economy, you'll find that the daily signal mix will gradually shift more and more to favor call options, and puts will return to their traditional role of capitalizing on downside reactions.

 

 

Time to favor a veteran "all weather" system like Op40 again, in its 13th year?  We welcome new and renewing users to either system. After the Short Term Market Cycles update, you’ll find several pages on “Op40”, the “do it yourself” trader’s option system.

Should you prefer that a broker familiar with KVS trade a system for you: choose DTE2008 because it is a specific entry & exit vehicle, thus especially suitable for Auto Trading.  For details: send an email to kvshotlines@aol.com. Include your phone number, and say you're interested in trading DTE2008. We'll respond with the contact information, email and phone, for our Auto Trade broker. You make your own contact for account setup, and information on rebates based on trading frequency, to reduce or eliminate your cost.  These are pre-requisites, so that KVS may provide the daily trading advice to the broker:

You need to be a current or new KVS/DTE2008 subscriber. Choose from the special offers below. The $544 offer for 6 months includes a $155 administrative fee. If you’re a current subscriber, with 6 or more months KVS/DTE2008 service left, then you can start with the $155 administrative fee as your only expense. These fees are exclusively for KVS, as provider of the daily advice by email. Same advice is provided to our Auto Trade broker, the night before each trading day, and to individual subscribers who do not Auto Trade.

After you have your response from our Auto Trade broker:  Decide whether you wish an Auto Trade arrangement, and before your trading account is set up, take care of your KVS subscription or administrative fee by email:  kvshotlines@aol.com. For those who also wish to phone, our System Support number has 24 hour voice mail: 877-350-3796.

=================================================================

** What are the current special offers for Op40 and DTE2008,  separately or together?   If you are not a KVS system or email hotline user yet: DTE2008 is $544 with 6 months nightly email. KVS Market Timing, with Dow (DJI) targets in both directions, updated daily, is a separate extra feature provided at no charge.  Op40 is $545 with 4 months nightly email. Longer term Op40 offers are not available because of quota. You're welcome to both the $544 and $545 offers as a combo, with an 11% discount. Extra bonus with the combo: 2 more months of Op40 email, so you'll have the same duration for the nightly email of both systems. Cost of this 6 month package: $969. Review above whether you’re eligible for the $155 fee only.

 

How to Order:  Your choice of email to kvshotlines@aol.com or phone order: 877-350-3796 or 800-334-0411 x12D. Use Visa, Master Card or American Express. Prefer to mail a check? Key-Volume Strategies Inc, 46 E Lincoln Ave , White Plains NY 10604 . Early response gets an unadvertised bonus. Thank you for choosing KVS systems and services, our 39th year.

** Introduction to KVS features, with Q&A:  If you clicked on the Auto Trade link on the KVS web site to get here, this took you on a shortcut past informative text which we recommend that you read now, by scrolling back to the beginning of "KVS #957 Fall 2008".

====================================================================

 

 

 

How to Order:  Your choice of email to kvshotlines@aol.com or phone order: 877-350-3796 or 800-334-0411 x12D. Use Visa, Master Card or American Express. Prefer to mail a check? Key-Volume Strategies Inc, 46 E Lincoln Ave , White Plains NY 10604 . Early response gets an unadvertised bonus. Thank you for choosing KVS systems and services, our 39th year.

 

====================================================================

 

Short Term Market Cycles: New “Bear Phase” Coming; Profits Taken on Previous Recovery

 

These cycles were discovered by KVS in early 2007. They are tracked on the nightly KVS Market Hotline: a second nightly email for DTE2008 subscribers and Auto Traders. This is a bonus in addition to the Loss Bypass Screen.

 

Each short term market cycle consists of three phases:  1. Bear Phase,  2. Turnaround Phase,  3. Recovery Phase.  Next on the agenda is a new Bear Phase. It will be signaled by a 240 point or larger down closing by the Dow (DJI). Might you have to wait quite a while for that?  Not likely. The average interval between Bear Phase signals has been 22 calendar days, and the last such signal occurred on July 28. What came next? The Turnaround Phase followed unusually quickly, the next day. Its entry formula suggested buying at DJI 11265. This was accomplished on August 1, and the Recovery Phase was in force. Its profit taking formula targeted 11681 for a gain of +416 points. Profits are normally in the 400 to 600 points range.

 

On Aug 6 the profit materialized, and an extended recovery followed. We needed to use other KVS market tools to project a goal above 11681. The KVS Market Hotline uses several such tools regularly. It announced that based on our special work with Big 1 Day Changes (DJI 90 points or more at the close),  a further rise into the 11932-11947 range is justified. On Aug 11 this range was reached, with a theoretical high of 11934. Theoretical highs and lows on the Dow are more accurate measures of overbought and oversold extremes than the actual numbers that you see on computer and TV screens all day. Theoretical numbers become available shortly after the close. We get them from the CBOE, which is also our source for option prices.

 

Just two sessions past the 11934 high, the DJI was already back down to 11377, a substantial 557 points. This swift drop was punctuated by single day down closings of -140 and -110 points. That was a total of -250. Are we in a new Bear Phase? No, we did not get a single day down closing of -240 or more negative. So the wait continues. Meanwhile the KVS Market Hotline keeps its users well supplied with market targets in both directions. And for option traders, DTE2008 and Op40 leave little room for inactivity. The balance of this report focuses on Options “40 In 4” (Op40), including a 13th anniversary Q&A

***********************************************************************

"OPTIONS 40 IN 4"  - 13TH YEAR CONTINUES - LONG TERM WIN RATIO 78%

OPTION BUYER’S ADVANTAGE: ANY KIND OF MARKET IS OK FOR OP40!

***********************************************************************

 

Already in its 13th year, Options "40 In 4" ("Op40") continues to exceed both its long term goals:  1. A 75% win ratio:  3 of 4 trades producing gains.  2. An average rise of +24% per option, within 4 sessions.  We set the second goal by targeting this sequence for 4 consecutive, representative signals:   +40% ... +40% ... +40% ... and -25% ...  (+120 - 25 = +95,  and  +95/4 = +24).   How goals have been surpassed is shown below and on the next page, summarizing all performance periods to date.  Each period is normally 25 calendar days but may vary slightly with our publication schedule.

 

 --- TRADING ---  WIN:LOSS  -- SIGNAL PERFORMANCE --  TOTAL

 PERIOD  SIGNALS   RATIO    TOT % RISE   AVGE % RISE  "RPS"

 1-117   1605    1269:336    +54540%        + 34%    1363.5

  118      14      11: 3      + 480%        + 34%      12.0

  119      11       7: 4      + 160%        + 15%       4.0

  120      13       8: 5      + 180%        + 14%       4.5

  121      11      10: 1      + 500%        + 45%      12.5

  122      17      11: 6      + 460%        + 27%      11.5

  123      13      11: 2      + 740%        + 56%      18.5

  124      14      11: 3      + 520%        + 37%      13.0

  125      14      12: 2      + 680%        + 48%      17.0

  126      14      10: 4      + 360%        + 26%       9.0

  127      12       9: 3      + 200%        + 17%       5.0

  128      15      11: 4      + 520%        + 34%      13.0

  129      19      16: 3      + 420%        + 22%      10.5

  130      15      13: 2      + 440%        + 29%      11.0

  131      14      11: 3      + 400%        + 29%      10.0

  132      14      12: 2      + 580%        + 41%      14.5

  133      14      11: 3      + 560%        + 40%      14.0

  134      15       8: 7      + 120%        +  8%       3.0

  135      15      11: 4      + 420%        + 28%      10.5

  136      16      14: 2      + 640%        + 40%      16.0

  137      13      10: 3      + 280%        + 22%       7.0

  138      11       8: 3      + 320%        + 29%       8.0

  139      15      12: 3      + 640%        + 43%      16.0

  140      17       9: 8      + 200%        + 12%       5.0

  141      16      12: 4      + 420%        + 26%      10.5

  142      15      10: 5      + 320%        + 21%       8.0

  143      15      10: 5      + 440%        + 29%      11.0

  144      13      12: 1      + 700%        + 54%      17.5

  145      17      12: 5      + 580%        + 34%      14.5

  146      12       9: 3      + 460%        + 38%      11.5

  147      14      12: 2      + 540%        + 39%      13.5

  148      13       9: 4      + 360%        + 28%       9.0

  149      12       8: 4      + 440%        + 37%      11.0

  150      12       8: 4      + 260%        + 22%       6.5

  151      13      12: 1      + 680%        + 52%      17.0

  152      13      11: 2      + 300%        + 23%       7.5

  153      14      11: 3      + 500%        + 36%      12.5

  154      14      11: 3      + 420%        + 30%      10.5

  155      13      11: 2      + 560%        + 43%      14.0

  156      13       9: 4      + 280%        + 22%       7.0

  157      13       8: 5      + 300%        + 23%       7.5

  158      14      12: 2      + 540%        + 39%      13.5

  159      14      10: 4      + 360%        + 26%       9.0

  160      12       8: 4      + 240%        + 20%       6.0

  161      15      13: 2      + 680%        + 45%      17.0

  162      12       8: 4      + 160%        + 13%       4.0

  163      13      10: 3      + 400%        + 31%      10.0

  164      15      10: 5      + 260%        + 17%       6.5

  165       9       6: 3      + 300%        + 33%       7.5

  166      15      13: 2      + 680%        + 45%      17.0

  167      11       9: 2      + 420%        + 38%      10.5

 ALL 167 2298    1792:506    +75960%        + 33%    1899.0

____________________________________________________________   

 

The 78% win ratio (1792 gains/2298 signals) exceeds the 75% goal. Average +33% rise (75960/2298) exceeds the +24% goal.  So results are not skewed by very large rises, we limit them to +100%, and in computing RPS (Rated Performance Score)  we make +80% the max (RPS = 0.5 for every 20%).  The system prevents trades likely to underperform, limiting some periods to  10 trades.  Next pages:  recent record trade by trade.  Anniversary Special!  Order Op40 at the 1996 Charter rate and  receive besides:  3 months toll free voice, or Email  hotline.  Special combo $545. To include “9 to 1 Edge Finder” (see other page) add only $130, total $675.  Hotline is your daily price source and learning aid, with complete price data for the two SP100 options (one call, one put) whose price action produces the exclusive Trading Edge.  Hotline computes the edge as well!

 

KVS #957,”Op40” periods #162-168

 

 OP40  TRADE   OPTION   TRDG    % RISE AT LEAST   RISE   MIN % LOSS   PERFORMANCE   AVG   ROSE

SIGNAL  SEQ    CHOICE   EDGE  +20  +40  +60  +80  <20%  -1  -40 –60   RPS   CUMUL   BUY    TO

JAN31     1    FEB665C    7    ..  +40   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.0  + 1.0   2.70  3.80

FEB 1+    2      “”       8    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  -65   ..  ..  - 1.5  - 0.5   2.07  0.65

    4     3    FEB660C    4    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  -65   ..  ..  - 1.5  - 2.0   0.90  0.30

    5     4    MAR530P    7    ..  +55   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.0  - 1.0   2.55  4.00

    6+    5      “”      10   +20   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 0.5  - 0.5   3.17  3.80

    7     6      “”       6   +20   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 0.5    0.0   2.77  3.30

    8            (P)      1    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0    0.0

   11            (C)      2    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0    0.0

   12     7    MAR670C    5    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   -3   ..  ..  - 0.5  - 0.5   2.42  2.35

   13+    8      “”       8    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   -6   ..  ..  - 0.5  - 1.0   2.50  2.35

   14     9      “”       7    ..  +50   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.0    0.0   1.57  2.35

   15            (C)      2    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0    0.0

   19            (P)      3    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0    0.0

   20    10    MAR660C    4    ..  +45   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.0  + 1.0   2.25  3.30

   21    11    MAR560P    6    ..  +40   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.0  + 2.0   2.20  3.10

   22            (C)      2    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 2.0

   25    12    MAR660C    8    ..   ..   ..  +85   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  + 4.0

***   PERIOD 162:  RATED PERFORMANCE MONITOR   ……………………………………………………         + 4.0

***  SIGNALS FLAGGED +  ENHANCED BY “9 TO 1 EDGE FINDER” (more below)

               

FEB26     1    MAR660C    9    ..   ..  +60   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.5  + 1.5   2.10  3.40

   27+    2      “”      10    ..  +40   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.0  + 2.5   1.89  2.70

   28            (P)      2    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 2.5

   29     3    MAR565P    8    ..   ..   ..  +90   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.5  + 4.5   2.15  4.10

MAR 3     4      “”       3    ..   ..   .. +100   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  + 6.5   2.05  4.10

    4           NONE      0    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 6.5

    5            (C)      2    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 6.5

    6     5    MAR565P    6    ..   ..  +55   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.0  + 7.5   2.47  3.90

    7     6      “”       6    ..   ..  +50   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.0  + 8.5   2.55  3.90

   10     7    APR510P   10    ..   ..   ..  +80   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  +10.5   1.48  2.70

   11     8    APR660C    4    ..   ..   ..   ..  +12   ..   ..  ..    0.0  +10.5   1.97  2.20

   12            (P)      3    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  +10.5

   13+    9    APR660C    5    ..   ..  +65   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.5  +12.0   1.33  2.20

   14    10    APR510P    5    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   .. -70  - 1.5  +10.5   3.00  0.80

   17    11      “”       7    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   .. -65  - 1.5  + 9.0   1.27  0.40

   18    12    APR550P    4    ..   ..   .. +100   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  +11.0   2.25  4.70

   19    13    APR530P    6    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  -55  ..  - 1.0  +10.0   1.75  0.75

   20            (C)      6    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  +10.0  [2.50] ....

        ***   PERIOD 163:  RATED PERFORMANCE MONITOR   ……………………………………………………        +10.0

 

MAR24     1    APR660C    7    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   .. -60  - 1.5  - 1.5   2.25  0.80

   25            (P)      1    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  - 1.5

   26     2    APR570P    4    ..  +45   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.0  - 0.5   2.35  3.40

   27     3      “”       5    ..  +45   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.0  + 0.5   2.30  3.40

   28+    4      “”       7    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   .. -65  - 1.5  - 1.0   2.45  0.80

   31     5      “”       7    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  -45  ..  - 1.0  - 2.0   1.00  0.55

APR 1     6    APR655C    6    ..   ..   ..   ..  +18   ..   ..  ..    0.0  - 2.0   2.45  2.90

    2+    7      “”       4    ..  +45   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.0  - 1.0   1.97  2.90

    3     8      “”       7    ..   ..  +60   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.5  + 0.5   1.55  2.50

    4            (C)      1    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 0.5

    7            (P)      1    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 0.5

    8            (P)      3    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 0.5

    9     9    MAY570P    4    ..   ..   ..  +90   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  + 2.5   2.53  4.90

   10            (C)      4    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 2.5

   11    10    MAY550P    6    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   .. -65  - 1.5  + 1.0   2.28  0.80

   14    11      “”       6    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  -50  ..  - 1.0    0.0   1.07  0.50

   15           NONE      0    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0    0.0

   16    12    MAY655C    2    ..   ..   .. +100   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  + 2.0   2.32  6.40

   17+   13      “”       6    ..  +40   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.0  + 3.0   4.60  6.40

   18+   14    MAY665C    7    ..   ..  +60   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.5  + 4.5   1.92  3.10

   21    15      “”       4    ..   ..   ..  +95   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  + 6.5   1.58  3.10

***   PERIOD 164:  RATED PERFORMANCE MONITOR   ……………………………………………………         + 6.5

 

Companion System to “Op40”: “9 to 1 EdgeFinder”:  While the “9 to 1 Edge Finder” (called “9 to 1” for short) has its own trading rules and can be traded as an independent system, it gives relatively few signals, and is most suitable as an enhancer for Op40. When both systems give a trading signal for the same option, consider investing a larger amount than you’d commit typically.  Signals flagged by + (plus sign) qualified for this technique in the 3 periods above, and more on the next pages. In total, the last 6 of 7 performance periods are final, and the 7th (#168) is previewed, incomplete as we write this.

 

Total “RPS” points for the flagged signals were 8.5, counting Op40 signals alone. Committing 1.5 times the usual capital, to utilize Op40 and “9 to 1” teamwork, increased RPS points to 13.0. Each RPS point represents a 40% to 59% gain. Counting the minimum 40%:  Total Op40 percent result for the flagged signals was +340%. Total from Op40/9 to 1 teamwork for the same signals was +520%.

 

The previous page gives long term results and includes a special offer for the two-system combo. Notice that the difference is modest: $545 for Op40 with 3 months nightly email hotline (comes by 8:30PM ET before each trading day), and $675 including the “9 to 1 Edge Finder” with its own email hotline the same days. The remaining two pages, which complete Rel #957, include additional insights into “9 to 1”, see Q9 of the “Anniversary Q&A”.

KVS #957 continued

 

 OP40  TRADE   OPTION   TRDG    % RISE AT LEAST   RISE   MIN % LOSS   PERFORMANCE   AVG   ROSE

SIGNAL  SEQ    CHOICE   EDGE  +20  +40  +60  +80  <20%  -1  -40 –60   RPS   CUMUL   BUY    TO

APR22+           (P)      2    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0    0.0

   23+    1    MAY665C    3                 +100   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  + 2.0   1.62  3.10

   24     2      “”       3    ..   ..   .. +100   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  + 4.0   2.02  4.70

   25     3      “”       4    ..   ..   .. +100   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  + 6.0   2.03  4.70

   28     4      “”       4    ..   ..   .. +100   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  + 8.0   1.57  4.70

   29+           (P)      4    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 8.0

   30+    5    MAY605P    4    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  -40  ..  - 1.0  + 7.0   1.07  0.60

MAY 1            (C)      4    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 7.0

    2+           (P)      1    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 7.0

    5+    6    JUN590P    4    ..  +45   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.0  + 8.0   2.57  3.80

    6     7    JUN690C    6    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  -16   ..  ..  - 0.5  + 7.5   0.89  0.75

    7     8    JUN590P    7    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  -19   ..  ..  - 0.5  + 7.0   3.20  2.60

    8            (P)      2    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 7.0  [3.20]

    9+          NONE      0    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 7.0

   12+           (C)      3    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 7.0

   13           NONE      0    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 7.0

   14            (C)      1    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 7.0

   15     9    JUN675C    6   +30   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 0.5  + 7.5   2.75  3.60

   16           NONE      0    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 7.5

***   PERIOD 165:  RATED PERFORMANCE MONITOR   ……………………………………………………         + 7.5

***  SIGNALS FLAGGED +  ENHANCED BY “9 TO 1 EDGE FINDER” (more below)

               

MAY19     1    JUN675C    3    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  -50  ..  - 1.0  - 1.0   0.91  0.45

   20     2    JUN605P    6    ..   ..   .. +100   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  + 1.0   2.30  5.00

   21     3    JUN595P    7    ..  +55   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.0  + 2.0   2.25  3.50

   22+    4      “”       4    ..  +45   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.0  + 3.0   2.42  3.50

   23     5      “”       7    ..   ..   ..   ..  + 6   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 3.0   2.35  2.50

   27     6    JUN660C    6    ..   ..  +70   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.5  + 4.5   1.52  2.60

   28     7      “”       4    ..   ..  +70   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.5  + 6.0

   29     8      “”       9    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  -35   ..  ..  - 0.5  + 5.5   1.97  1.20

   30            (C)      1    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 5.5

JUN 2     9    JUN600P    5    ..   ..   .. +100   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  + 7.5   1.67  5.20

    3+   10      “”       7    ..   ..   .. +100   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  + 9.5   2.35  5.20

    4    11      “”       4    ..   ..   .. +100   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  +11.5   1.52  5.60

    5    12    JUN615P    4    ..   ..   .. +100   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  +13.5   3.05 10.30

    6    13    JUN590P    4    ..   ..  +60   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.5  +15.0   2.07  3.30

    9            (P)      1    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  +15.0

   10+           (C)      3    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  +15.0

   11    14    JUL550P    4   +25   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 0.5  +15.5   2.75  3.45

   12    15      “”       6    ..   ..  +60   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.5  +17.0   1.87  3.00

   13            (9)      1    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  +17.0

        ***   PERIOD 166: RATED PERFORMANCE MONITOR   ……………………………………………………         +17.0

 

JUN16     1    JUL650C    2    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   .. -65  - 1.5  - 1.5   1.77  0.60

   17     2    JUL555P    4    ..   ..  +60   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.5    0.0   2.13  3.50

   18     3      “”       8    ..   ..  +65   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.5  + 1.5   2.07  3.50

   19     4      “”       4    ..   ..  +60   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.5  + 3.0   2.77  4.50

   20     5      “”       6    ..   ..  +75   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.5  + 4.5   2.55  4.50

   23            (P)      1    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 4.5

   24            (C)      1    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 4.5

   25     6    JUL625C    5    ..   ..   ..   ..  - 8   ..   ..  ..  - 0.5  + 4.0   0.60  0.55

   26     7    JUL540P    6    ..  +45   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.0  + 5.0   1.87  2.55

   27            (P)      1    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 5.0

   30            (P)      1    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 5.0

JUL 1     8    JUL610C    6   +35   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 0.5  + 5.5   0.95  1.50

    2     9    JUL540P    6    ..   ..  +60   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.5  + 7.0   1.60  2.55

    3            (P)      1    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 7.0

    7    10    AUG500P    3    ..   ..  +60   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.5  + 8.5   1.47  2.40

    8            (C)      2    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 8.5

    9    11    AUG510P    6    ..   ..   .. +100   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  +10.5   2.75  6.50

   10            (C)      3    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  +10.5

 ***  PERIOD 167: RATED PERFORMANCE MONITOR   ……………………………………………………          +10.5

 

 

Preview of Period #168, into August:   Our next report will begin with period #168 and end with #170. Meanwhile, the bulk of period #168 is already behind us, so we can  give you preliminary statistics now.

 

When period #168 is finished, we expect its results to be very close to this:

 

Number of signals = 16 or 17.  Winning signals = 10 or 11.  Total RPS = 9 to 11.  Total % achieved = +380 to +440.  To learn more about “RPS”, review Q4 thru Q6 and their answers, in the Anniversary Q&A on the final page of Rel #957.

 

Long term win ratio will remain 78%.  Long term average per trade will remain +33%.  Thank you for choosing KVS products.

 

ANNIVERSARY Q&A:  “OP40” IN  ITS 13TH YEAR!   (KVS Release #957 concludes with this page)

 

Q1: What determines the option choice?  A1: “TE” the Trading Edge. It does double duty. The same time it tells you whether the signaled direction favors a call or a put, it names exactly which call or put. KVS knows from many years of experience that SP100 (OEX) options, that last closed in the 1.50-3.50 range, and expire in the current month with at least 2 weeks left to expiration, are the best candidates for 1 to 4 day trades for 40% profit or more.

 

Q2: Can you go a little further into computing “TE” ? What data does the formula need?  A2: Two options in the price range just mentioned, a call and a put, are handed over every evening to the “TE” formula, for a few price comparisons. Only the day’s open, high, low, and closing prices are used. Percent differences, between certain prices in this “data base” of only 8 prices, are converted by the formula into values normally in the 0 to 10 range. Values are summed separately for the call and the put. The option with the higher sum has the edge. In case of a tie: TE = 0 and there’s no trading signal for next day.

 

 Q3: If I’d rather not compute the TE myself, can I get it already computed, from the hotline?  A3: Yes, you can.  The most liked feature of the hotline, your choice of voice or Email, is that it gives you already determined values and decisions.

 

Q4: The Performance columns, on the signal summary pages, show two values. Do these numbers evaluate the performance of each signal? Are they like a “report card” for the system?  A4: A good name! The left number is the grade that Op40 gets for handling the signal, profitably or not. We call this grade “RPS” (Rated Performance Score): it rates Op40 performance with a   score. The right number “CUMUL” cumulates the individual scores for a full performance period, commonly 4 weeks.

 

Q5: Can you give an example or two for the scoring? A5: For every 20% the option rises, RPS =0.5. For a 40% rise, on up to 59%, RPS = 1. For a 60% rise, on up to 79%, RPS = 1.5. For an 80% or larger rise, RPS = 2. With RPS values included, the signal tracking format not only shows the price advances (and occasional declines), but a  report card  for Op40 as well.

 

Q6: Where do you measure the price rises from?  A6: From the average buy price for the given signal. It is the mid point between the next day’s opening, which is your first opportunity to act, and the day’s low, the best available price.

 

Q7: If I recall right from previous Op40 descriptions: you chose the full name “Options 40 In 4” because the system objective is a 40% or larger gain within 4 sessions?  A7: Yes, exactly. Relatively few gains turn out to be less than 40%, and there’s an occasional loss. Per trade average over the long run has been +33%, see the summary for 168 periods on previous pages.

 

Q8: I see a percent size breakout of the results. Why not show it all in one column?  A8: Most system users like to see how the small, medium, and large returns are distributed, for an easy scan of relative frequency. The “RPS” numbers are all in a single column: multiply by 40, and that’s the percent Op40 gets credit for, not to exceed 80%. That’s the practical limit, because traders seldom try for more, with such quick turnaround, 4 days or less.  We do show rises up to 100%, but RPS =2 is max.

 

Q9: The record shows Op40 doing quite well, and for a long time now. Why use a second system to enhance Op40? A9: The  “9 to 1 Edge Finder” (short name “9 to 1”) started in 2000. It uses the same options as Op40 in its signal logic and buy/sell formulas, but with different emphasis: accept fewer signals, but each with a 90% probability of profit within 3 sessions. Teamwork has been beneficial for both systems, here’s an excerpt from previous summaries for the 5 ways it has worked:

 

There have been 5 ways for teamwork to enhance results:   1. Op40 paused, TE (Trading Edge) was low, but “9 to 1” traded. 2. Op40 had a signal in one direction, “9 to 1” had one in the other direction. To assure sufficient volatility for profit in both directions: “9 to 1” checks how high TE is, and if it’s 7 or above it yields to Op40 without trading its own signal.  3. “9 to 1” bought twice.  4. Op40 loss prevented or offset by“9 to 1”. 5. Both systems chose the same option, suggesting higher $ commitment.

 

Q10: I misplaced the 1996 charter offer. Am I still entitled to it to get your lowest rate?  A10: We’re celebrating the 39th year for KVS (Key-Volume Strategies) and 13th year for Op40. You’re welcome to the 1996 charter offer, restored for 15 days. Review the Op40 introduction, which includes the charter offer, on our web site: www.key-volume.com.

 

Q11: How do I get started?  A11: Each offer includes system instructions, step by step: choosing your option, buying your option, selling your option. You also get nightly hotline for 3 months, your choice of voice or email. Order with credit card for fastest start (Visa, Master Card, American Express), or mail a check. Specify A or B, or if you already have Op40: C or D.

 

Choose from the special offers below, by email to kvshotlines@aol.com or by calling 800-334-0411 x12K. We’ll be prompt! Mail orders: Key-Volume Strategies Inc, 46 E. Lincoln Ave, White Plains NY 10604. Thank you for choosing KVS!  We’re proud of  39  years of systems and services.  

 

Offer “A”: Op40 system + 3 months nightly email which we call “the hotline”, total $545.

Offer “B”: Op40 and “9 to 1 Edge Finder” (“9 to 1”) with 3 months nightly email hotline for both, total $675.

Offer “C”:  If you already have the Op40 system: “9 to 1” system, with 3 months hotline for both systems, $395.

Offer “D”: If you already have both systems: 3 months hotline for both systems (extension or renewal) $265.

 

Anniversary Bonus!  Add 1 month to the offer of your choice. To assure this bonus, do order within 10 days . Thank you!

 

KVS #955 review

*********************************************************************

"OPTIONS 40 IN 4"  - 13TH YEAR BEGINS -  LONG TERM WIN RATIO 78%

OPTION BUYER’S ADVANTAGE: ANY KIND OF MARKET IS OK FOR OP40!

*********************************************************************

 

Already in its 13th year, Options "40 In 4" ("Op40") continues to exceed both its long term goals:  1. A 75% win ratio:  3 of 4 trades producing gains.  2. An average rise of +24% per option, within 4 sessions.  We set the second goal by targeting this sequence for 4 consecutive, representative signals:   +40% ... +40% ... +40% ... and -25% ...  (+120 - 25 = +95,  and  +95/4 = +24).   How goals have been surpassed is shown below and on the next page, summarizing all performance periods to date.  Each period is normally 25 calendar days but may vary slightly with our publication schedule.

 

 --- TRADING ---  WIN:LOSS  -- SIGNAL PERFORMANCE --  TOTAL

 PERIOD  SIGNALS   RATIO    TOT % RISE   AVGE % RISE  "RPS"

 1-109   1517    1205:312    +52340%        + 34%    1308.5

  110      11       9: 2      + 440%        + 40%      11.0

  111      10       8: 2      + 280%        + 28%       7.0

  112      10       6: 4      + 280%        + 28%       7.0

  113      10       8: 2      + 180%        + 18%       4.5

  114      11       9: 2      + 360%        + 33%       9.0

  115      16      10: 6      + 180%        + 11%       4.5

  116       8       7: 1      + 240%        + 30%       6.0

  117      12       7: 5      + 240%        + 20%       6.0

  118      14      11: 3      + 480%        + 34%      12.0

  119      11       7: 4      + 160%        + 15%       4.0

  120      13       8: 5      + 180%        + 14%       4.5

  121      11      10: 1      + 500%        + 45%      12.5

  122      17      11: 6      + 460%        + 27%      11.5

  123      13      11: 2      + 740%        + 56%      18.5

  124      14      11: 3      + 520%        + 37%      13.0

  125      14      12: 2      + 680%        + 48%      17.0

  126      14      10: 4      + 360%        + 26%       9.0

  127      12       9: 3      + 200%        + 17%       5.0

  128      15      11: 4      + 520%        + 34%      13.0

  129      19      16: 3      + 420%        + 22%      10.5

  130      15      13: 2      + 440%        + 29%      11.0

  131      14      11: 3      + 400%        + 29%      10.0

  132      14      12: 2      + 580%        + 41%      14.5

  133      14      11: 3      + 560%        + 40%      14.0

  134      15       8: 7      + 120%        +  8%       3.0

  135      15      11: 4      + 420%        + 28%      10.5

  136      16      14: 2      + 640%        + 40%      16.0

  137      13      10: 3      + 280%        + 22%       7.0

  138      11       8: 3      + 320%        + 29%       8.0

  139      15      12: 3      + 640%        + 43%      16.0

  140      17       9: 8      + 200%        + 12%       5.0

  141      16      12: 4      + 420%        + 26%      10.5

  142      15      10: 5      + 320%        + 21%       8.0

  143      15      10: 5      + 440%        + 29%      11.0

  144      13      12: 1      + 700%        + 54%      17.5

  145      17      12: 5      + 580%        + 34%      14.5

  146      12       9: 3      + 460%        + 38%      11.5

  147      14      12: 2      + 540%        + 39%      13.5

  148      13       9: 4      + 360%        + 28%       9.0

  149      12       8: 4      + 440%        + 37%      11.0

  150      12       8: 4      + 260%        + 22%       6.5

  151      13      12: 1      + 680%        + 52%      17.0

  152      13      11: 2      + 300%        + 23%       7.5

  153      14      11: 3      + 500%        + 36%      12.5

  154      14      11: 3      + 420%        + 30%      10.5

  155      13      11: 2      + 560%        + 43%      14.0

  156      13       9: 4      + 280%        + 22%       7.0

  157      13       8: 5      + 300%        + 23%       7.5

  158      14      12: 2      + 540%        + 39%      13.5

 ALL 158 2182    1705:477    +72460%        + 33%    1811.5

 

The 78% win ratio (1705 gains/2182 signals) exceeds the 75% goal. Average +33% rise (72460/2182) exceeds the +24% goal.  So results are not skewed by very large rises, we limit them to +100%, and in computing RPS (Rated Performance Score)  we make +80% the max (RPS = 0.5 for every 20%).  The system prevents trades likely to underperform, limiting some periods to  10 trades.  Next page:  recent record trade by trade.  Anniversary Special!  Order Op40 at the 1996 Charter rate and  receive besides:  3 months toll free voice, or Email  hotline.  Special combo $545. To include “9 to 1 Edge Finder” (see other page) add only $130, total $675.  Hotline is your daily price source and learning aid, with complete price data for the two SP100 options (one call, one put) whose price action produces the exclusive Trading Edge.  Hotline computes the edge as well!

 OP40  TRADE   OPTION   TRDG    % RISE AT LEAST   RISE   MIN % LOSS   PERFORMANCE   AVG   ROSE

SIGNAL  SEQ    CHOICE   EDGE  +20  +40  +60  +80  <20%  -1  -40 –60   RPS   CUMUL   BUY    TO

AUG14     1    SEP560P    6    ..   ..   .. +100   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  + 2.0   2.10  6.30

   15     2      “”       5    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  -22   ..  ..  - 0.5  + 1.5   3.35  2.60

   16     3      “”       4    ..   ..  +60   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.5  + 3.0   1.60  2.60

   17            (C)      2    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 3.0            

   20+    4    SEP715C    4   +37   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 0.5  + 3.5   1.82  2.50

   21+    5      “”       2   +33   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 0.5  + 4.0   1.88  2.50

   22+    6      “”       4   +22   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 0.5  + 4.5   1.76  2.15

   23+    7    SEP610P    5    ..   ..   ..  +90   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  + 6.5   1.75  3.40

   24     8    SEP715C    7    ..  +45   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.0  + 7.5   1.92  2.80

   27            (P)      4    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 7.5            

   28     9    SEP600P    8    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   .. -60  - 1.5  + 6.0   1.75  0.70

   29    10    SEP625P    4   +20   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 0.5  + 6.5   2.65  3.20

   30           NONE      0    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 6.5            

   31+           (C)      3    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 6.5            

SEP 4    11    SEP715C    8    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  -45  ..  - 1.0  + 5.5   1.92  1.00

    5            (P)      2    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 5.5   1.93  2.30

    6           NONE      0    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 5.5

    7          OCT560P    2    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 5.5

   10    12      “”       2    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  -33   ..  ..  - 0.5  + 5.0   1.35  0.90

   11    13    OCT730C    6    ..   ..   .. +100   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  + 7.0   2.60  5.50

***   PERIOD 156:  RATED PERFORMANCE MONITOR   ……………………………………………………         + 7.0

***  SIGNALS FLAGGED +  ENHANCED BY “9 TO 1 EDGE FINDER”, NEW SUM ……        +10.5

               

SEP12     1    OCT730C   10    ..   ..  +60   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.5  + 1.5   3.40  5.50

   13+    2      “”      10    ..   ..   .. +100   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  + 3.5   3.23  7.60

   14+          NONE      0    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 3.5

   17+          NONE      0    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 3.5             

   18+    3    OCT740C    6    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  -39   ..  ..  - 0.5  + 3.0   3.12  1.90

   19     4      “”       8    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  -40  ..  - 1.0  + 2.0   2.35  1.35

   20     5      “”       4   +36   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 0.5  + 2.5   2.02  2.75

   21           NONE      0    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 2.5

   24     6    OCT660P    7    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  -40  ..  - 1.0  + 1.5   2.42  1.40

   25+    7      “”       6    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  -31   ..  ..  - 0.5  + 1.0   1.45  1.00

   26+           (C)      4    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 1.0            

   27+    8    OCT735C    6    ..   ..   .. +100   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  + 3.0   1.95  4.30

   28+           (P)      3    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 3.0

OCT 1     9    OCT740C    6    ..  +40   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.0  + 4.0   1.53  2.15

    2            (P)      4    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 4.0             

    3+   10    OCT690P    3    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  -38   ..  ..  - 0.5  + 3.5   1.29  0.80

    4+   11    OCT735C    4    ..  +45   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.0  + 4.5   2.92  4.30

    5    12      “”       8    ..   ..  +65   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.5  + 6.0   2.55  4.30

    8+           (P)      1    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 6.0            

    9    13    NOV760C    7    ..   ..  +65   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.5  + 7.5   1.73  2.90

   10           NONE      0    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 7.5            

***   PERIOD 157:  RATED PERFORMANCE MONITOR   ……………………………………………………         + 7.5

***  SIGNALS FLAGGED +  ENHANCED BY “9 TO 1 EDGE FINDER”, NEW SUM ……        +20.5

 

OCT11            (C)      1    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0    0.0            

   12     1    NOV760C    2    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  -50  ..  - 1.0  - 1.0   1.20  0.60

   15     2    NOV660P    7    ..   ..   .. +100   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  + 1.0   2.57  5.20

   16+    3      “”       5    ..   ..   .. +100   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  + 3.0   1.95  5.20

   17+    4      “”       3    ..   ..   .. +100   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  + 5.0   2.10  5.20

   18+           (C)      1    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 5.0            

   19+    5    NOV635P    5    ..   ..   ..   ..  + 5   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 5.0   2.37  2.50

   22     6      “”       4    ..   ..   .. +100   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  + 7.0   1.23  2.50

   23            (C)      2    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 7.0            

   24            (P)      1    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 7.0            

   25+    7    NOV735C    5    ..   ..   .. + 85   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  + 9.0   2.75  5.20

   26+    8    NOV740C    6    ..   ..   ..   ..  +15   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 9.0   2.60  3.00

   29+    9      “”       7   +28   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 0.5  + 9.5   2.35  3.00

   30    10    NOV675C    4    ..   ..   .. + 90   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  +11.5   1.42  2.70

   31    11    NOV740C    5    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  -70  ..  - 1.5  +10.0   0.87  0.25

NOV 1    12    NOV660P    7    ..   ..  +65   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.5  +11.5   2.00  3.30

    2+           (P)      1    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  +11.5            

    5            (C)      1    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  +11.5            

    6    13    DEC750C    6    ..  +45   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.0  +12.5   1.72  2.55            

    7            (P)      4    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  +12.5            

    8    14    DEC580P    1    ..  +45   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.0  +13.5   2.75  4.00

***   PERIOD 158:  RATED PERFORMANCE MONITOR   ……………………………………………………         +13.5

***  SIGNALS FLAGGED +  ENHANCED BY “9 TO 1 EDGE FINDER”, NEW SUM ……        +24.5

 

 

Anniversary Q & A   Q1: In all your record updates you stress that “Op40” has been the most popular KVS option system, since it started in 1996. What accounts for this?  A1: The main reason has been the accuracy of the plain math that gives you the Trading Edge (“TE”) every day. Scan the TRDG EDGE column of the record (the 4th column above).  If TE=0, there’s no signal to trade. If TE=5 or above (seldom higher than 10), you trade the current option choice (to the left of TE). If TE is in the 1 to 4 range, additional logic determines whether to trade or not.  Q2: What determines the option choice?  A2: See next page.

 

ANNIVERSARY Q&A:  “OP40” STARTS ITS 13TH YEAR!  (Continued from previous page)

 

Q2: What determines the option choice?  A2: “TE” the Trading Edge. It does double duty. The same time it tells you whether the signaled direction favors a call or a put, it names exactly which call or put. KVS knows from many years of experience that SP100 (OEX) options, that last closed in the 1.50-3.50 range, and expire in the current month with at least 2 weeks left to expiration, are the best candidates for 1 to 4 day trades for 40% profit or more.

 

Q3: Can you go a little further into computing “TE” ? What data does the formula need?  A3: Two options in the price range just mentioned, a call and a put, are handed over every evening to the “TE” formula, for a few price comparisons. Only the day’s open, high, low, and closing prices are used. Percent differences, between certain prices in this “data base” of only 8 prices, are converted by the formula into values normally in the 0 to 10 range. Values are summed separately for the call and the put. The option with the higher sum has the edge. In case of a tie: TE = 0 and there’s no trading signal for next day.

 

 Q4: If I’d rather not compute the TE myself, can I get it already computed, from the hotline?  A4: Yes, you can.  The most liked feature of the hotline, your choice of voice or Email, is that it gives you already determined values and decisions.

 

Q5: The Performance columns, on the signal summary pages, show two values. Do these numbers evaluate the performance of each signal? Are they like a “report card” for the system?  A5: A good name! The left number is the grade that Op40 gets for handling the signal, profitably or not. We call this grade “RPS” (Rated Performance Score): it rates Op40 performance with a   score. The right number “CUMUL” cumulates the individual scores for a full performance period, commonly 4 weeks.

 

Q6: Can you give an example or two for the scoring? A6: For every 20% the option rises, RPS =0.5. For a 40% rise, on up to 59%, RPS = 1. For a 60% rise, on up to 79%, RPS = 1.5. For an 80% or larger rise, RPS = 2. With RPS values included, the signal tracking format not only shows the price advances (and occasional declines), but a  report card  for Op40 as well.

 

Q7: Where do you measure the price rises from?  A7: From the average buy price for the given signal. It is the mid point between the next day’s opening, which is your first opportunity to act, and the day’s low, the best available price.

 

Q8: If I recall right from previous Op40 descriptions: you chose the full name “Options 40 In 4” because the system objective is a 40% or larger gain within 4 sessions?  A8: Yes, exactly. Relatively few gains turn out to be less than 40%, and there’s an occasional loss. Per trade average over the long run has been +33%, see the summary for 158 periods on a previous page.

 

Q9: I see a percent size breakout of the results. Why not show it all in one column?  A9: Most system users like to see how the small, medium, and large returns are distributed, for an easy scan of relative frequency. The “RPS” numbers are all in a single column: multiply by 40, and that’s the percent Op40 gets credit for, not to exceed 80%. That’s the practical limit, because traders seldom try for more, with such quick turnaround, 4 days or less.  We do show rises up to 100%, but RPS =2 is max.

 

Q10: The record shows Op40 doing quite well, and for a long time now. Why use a second system to enhance Op40? A10: The “9 to 1 Edge Finder” (short name “9 to 1”) started in 2000. It uses the same options as Op40 in its signal logic and buy/sell formulas, but with different emphasis: accept fewer signals, but each with a 90% probability of profit within 3 sessions. Teamwork has been beneficial for both systems, here’s an excerpt from previous summaries for the 5 ways it has worked:

 

There have been 5 ways for teamwork to enhance results:   1. Op40 paused, TE (Trading Edge) was low, but “9 to 1” traded. 2. Op40 had a signal in one direction, “9 to 1” had one in the other direction. To assure sufficient volatility for profit in both directions: “9 to 1” checks how high TE is, and if it’s 7 or above it yields to Op40 without trading its own signal.  3. “9 to 1” bought twice.  4. Op40 loss prevented or offset by“9 to 1”. 5. Both systems chose the same option, suggesting higher $ commitment.

 

Q11: I misplaced the 1996 charter offer. Am I still entitled to it to get your lowest rate?  A11: We’re celebrating the start of the 39th year for KVS (Key-Volume Strategies) and 13th year for Op40. You’re welcome to the 1996 charter offer, restored for 15 days. Review the Op40 introduction, which includes the charter offer, on our web site: www.key-volume.com.

 

Q12: How do I get started?  A12: Each offer includes system instructions, step by step: choosing your option, buying your option, selling your option. You also get nightly hotline for 3 months, your choice of voice or email. Order with credit card for fastest start (Visa, Master Card, American Express), or mail a check. Specify A, B, C, or if you already have Op40: C or D.

 

Choose from the special offers below, by email to kvshotlines@aol.com or by calling 800-334-0411 x12K. We’ll be prompt! Mail orders: Key-Volume Strategies Inc, 46 E. Lincoln Ave, White Plains NY 10604. Thank you for choosing KVS!  We’re proud of  39  years of systems and services.  

 

Offer “A”: Op40 system + 3 months nightly email which we call “the hotline” (shorter version available by phone) total $545.

Offer “B”: Op40 and “9 to 1 Edge Finder” (“9 to 1”) with 3 months nightly email hotline for both, total $675.

Offer “C”:  If you already have the Op40 system: “9 to 1” system, with 3 months hotline for both systems, $395.

Offer “D”: If you already have both systems: 3 months hotline for both systems (extension or renewal) $265.

 

Anniversary Bonus!  Add 1 month to the offer of your choice. To assure this bonus, do order by Nov 30. Thank you.

 

Our other timing and trading products are taught in our releases and special supplements, with hotlines to keep you current.  Here's a preview, you are welcome to the keys to any named tool, one per 6 subscription months, for only a $70 surcharge per tool.  Your subscription term choices are:   6, 12 or 18 months.  With the 18 month term you're welcome to an extra tool, your choice, as a bonus, without surcharge.  See rates further down.

 

"One Day Advantage" Trading Principle "ODA":  Recent innovation, first available in 2002, allows you to trade Op40 signals with a one day delay, taking advantage of the fact that the best buy price is already known.

 

"MRM":  Major Risk Measurement Gauge:  Byproduct of Op40, in use since 1998, gives 1 or 2 signals in most months, to trade specific index puts with a 100% or larger profit potential.  Nearly 90% of signals have been profitable.

 

"5 Minute" Tool:  Just 5 minutes into any trading day you can make a quick test on the DJI to learn:  will this be an up day or a down day?  Minimum intraday gain is typically 70 points when the tool is correct.  When the tool is wrong, a second rule tells you how to make up the loss in a ratio of at least 3 to 1, example:  if you lost 100 points, you gain 300 or more.  The combined accuracy of the 1 day indication and the "make good 3 to 1" rule has been over 90% since 1999.

 

Two-Way Signals:  Frequent signals, in use since 1991, confirm that natural volatility is present, and traders have the odds in their favor to profit in either direction or both.  Absence of Two-Way signals in 5 or more consecutive sessions constitutes a major downside alert, for normally a 400 to 600 point DJI fall, with an occasional even larger one of  800 to 1000 points.  Since we discovered this major warning feature in 1999, there have been an average of 5 such signals a year.

 

"9 to 1" Edge Finder:  Discovered in 2000, this tool has the prime role to enhance returns from any option system.  A signal occurs only when there is a 90% (9 to 1) probability for a quick profit of up to 60% in 1 or 2 days.  Nearly 9 in 10 signals have indeed been accurate.  The tool can also be used as a standalone index option trading system, but signals are relatively infrequent, sometimes only 6 to 8 in a month.

 

Big One Day Changes:  Since 1998 we have used a set of simple rules for treating every 90 point or larger DJI closing change (up or down) as a signal for a move of about 600 points.  Some big up days are buy signals, others are sell signals.  Likewise, some big down days are buy signals, others are sell signals.  The trading logic decides direction, entry, and exit.

 

Natural Volatility Products:  NV1 (formulas) or NV2 (full system).   We discovered the underlying logic near the end of 2002.  Learn how to measure volatility and profitability by easy math, using only a day's prices for a given index option.  Catch trading signals for options several times a month for 60% gains within 3 days.  Use specific rules for adjusting your original exit goal when the gain does not come quickly enough.  NV signals have been profitable slightly over 80% of the time.

"SPP":  Sell Price Predictor: 
Before you accept a loss on any index option which you bought thru any source, consult the Rebound Profiles of SPP,  introduced in August 2004.  The profiles tell you clearly whether to accept a loss, or if not:  how many more days to hold for, and for what size rebound.  The surcharge for SPP is $175, rather than the $70 that applies to other methods.
 

Other investment aids, which you learn automatically through a subscription to the KVS releases include: Key-Dates for market turns;  Magnetic Bands for support and resistance;  and the Key-Volume concept for stock trading. 

 

HOW TO ORDER   The one-time fee for Options "40 In 4" is $675, but you can save through the Anniversary Special fee of only $545.  You may even be eligible for the super saver charter rate from 1996, mentioned in the 15 day time limit offer you've browsed up front.  Higher rates of $495 to $545 include two months hotline by voice ($495) or email ($545), the choice is yours.  The highest fee of $675 includes "ODA" (described above) plus 3 months hotline, voice or email.  If you wish to renew the hotline later, rates start at $135 for 3 months.  Use the hotline as your data source, learning aid, or shortcut.

 

KVS  subscriptions bring you 14 to 20 features a year on systems, tools and techniques, numbered as "releases" (plus educational back issues) and four email or recorded updates (your choice) per week, two on market timing and stocks and two on the large potential (100%+) option trading outlook.  Special rates for web site browsers are $279 for 6 months, $449 for a full year, or $579 for 18 months.  Bonus and surcharge choices were described above.  If you already have all the listed  tools from an earlier subscription, you're welcome to one of the following as a bonus with a 1 year or 18 month order: 2008 Stock Trader's Almanac, hardcover 180+ pages, focusing on seasonal opportunities and dangers, with daily calendar timing help and a variety of record keeping forms;  and/or Extra Hotline Time, 1 month.  Email address for our System Support staff:  kvshotlines@aol.com


Call 800-334-0411 ext. 12-E to order:  Use Visa, MasterCard or American Express.  This is a 24 hour number.  If you prefer to mail a check, ask to speak to someone on the KVS staff for the fastest service mailing address, and for a code to be written on your mailing envelope to assure your special rate.  From outside the
USA call 828-692-3401.  If you prefer to order by Email:  info@key-volume.com.  Be sure to include your telephone number with your order.  If you have a Fax number, please provide it as well.    Thank you, we appreciate your joining us, we fill all orders by 2 day priority mail; auxiliary material is sent by Email.

 

**************************************************************************************************************************

 

KEY-VOLUME STRATEGIES INC.                    RELEASE #952 JULY/AUG/SEPT 2007                            VOL. 38, NO. 4

 

Hello again from your KVS support staff:  Welcome to the new world of DJI 13000-14000, and the DTE 2007 system! You may have been on an early distribution list for this milestone report in July, with special offers, because of your past orders. If not, this web site copy will bring you current. This can mean important savings for you, because some fees are scheduled to double.  Thank you very much for choosing the KVS family of investment products and services!  KVS Systems Support

 

KVS #952 SUMMER  2007:  MESSAGE FROM THE DOW: “I HAVE JUST CHANGED 55 OR

MORE POINTS FROM YESTERDAY. TAKE THIS AS A CLUE TO PROFIT 50% FROM OPTIONS.”  

 

When the Dow starts talking to you, perhaps you’ve been working too hard, and you need a rest. But then again, this could be special reward time if you accept a challenge. This is our 38th year in the market, and our experience tells us that there’s always another challenge. Stay alert, recognize what it is, and do something about it. It’s too soon to rest!

 

A system we call simply “DTE” for Daily Trade Email, has been the work horse for our specific entry/exit logic for trading index options. The SP100 (OEX) index is our preferred vehicle. If it’s not yours yet, we’re confident that it will be. Because DTE wants to trade almost every day, and we want to minimize open positions, we have a not-so-fantastic 30% quick profit goal per signal. We’ve been getting it more than two thirds of the time, for going on 3 years. What about unused potential?

 

DTE does have a way to score occasional large gains, even in excess of 100%. But what if we could score frequent large gains, not necessarily triple digits, but realistically: how many traders would object to +50% to +75% gains, let’s say 6 to 10 times a month? What could make that happen? Something as simple as 55 point or larger moves by the Dow (DJI), in either direction, from one day’s closing to the next. Continue to use the established DTE quick gain logic, but when the Dow gives a large gain alert: boost the 30% target to the 50% to 75% range, even higher at times, with some added logic.

 

You’ll be pleased to know that such added logic is no longer tentative: it has been applied to DTE signals, and Dow signals, since the start of 2007. We designated the 6 month period through June as the pre-release test period, then extended it by 2 months through August, to give “Murphy’s Law” more than a fair chance to make its move. We’ve all had experience with this troublesome “law”: “If something can go wrong, it will.”

 

What the new logic has accomplished so far, as you’re about to see, leaves us confident that “DTE 2007” is not about to present unpleasant surprises. Therefore the upgraded DTE, with large gain capability, is available now at a discounted early release fee. After August the fee will rise considerably, so for the “daring” among you the opportunity is here right now to get a head start, and save a significant amount. Scan the record, then we’ll tell you more. If it’s past August when you read this: see extra 5th page with track record addendum, and grace period special into September.

 

---- DTE 2007 ACHIEVED BY SIGNAL TYPE ----

SIGNAL  %OF ALL  TOTAL   AVERAGE      WIN

 TYPE   SIGNALS  %GAIN  PER SIGNAL   RATIO

  1N      44     + 823%   + 46%       83%

  5,6     15     + 432%   + 72%      100%

  2N      12     + 423%   + 85%      100%

  1       12     + 373%   + 75%       80%

  3N      10     + 153%   + 38%       75%

  4N       7     + 171%   + 57%      100%

  ALL    100     +2375%   + 58%       87%

 

 

Specific Option, with Entry & Exit Prices, In a Nightly Email, Directly to You  The nightly email hotline content, to which current DTE users are accustomed, will be extended by a few lines starting July 31, to include Large Gain advice. To quantify the new large gain capability, we gave you a summary above, based on the last 50 times the DJI changed 55 or more points, close to close, and a DTE 2007 signal resulted. About 2 in 10 signals permit no action, because other signal components cancel them, or the buy price is not available. The table on page 2 expands the summary into trade by trade detail.

 

Do you need to learn the signal logic? No, you do not. The nightly email tells you exactly which option to buy, at what price, and what your sell target is as a minimum, commonly 50%. Thus, as soon as your email subscription starts, you can begin trading. Even with the decisions made for you, you’ll probably like some insight into the system foundation and logic structure:  So we’re adding a description of signal components to the trade by detail on the next page. When the DJI changes 55 or more in a single day, that is a trading alert, not a signal yet.  One or more of the other signal components need to confirm the alert. Altogether there are 6 components, each one a KVS “in house” technical invention, ranging in experience from 38 years to one year. They have been specially put together for DTE 2007 and stand ready to serve you. Meet the team:

 

 

DTE 2007 SIGNAL COMPONENTS    1. DJI Closing Change: At Least 55 points above or below the previous day’s.

 2. Magnetic Bands: Used for support and resistance in market timing for 28 years. Recently enhanced with day to day option trading capability.  3. “2 Day Magnet” and “EOP” (Ease of Profit): These formulas have generated the 30% quick profit signals for DTE since 2005. 4. Natural Volatility: Upgraded from 2003 to recognize when it’s OK to buy an option at next day’s opening for a 50 to 60% rise. Signal types ending with N are supported by the smart second screen we call NV3.

 

5. “Two-Day Swing”: Measurement of full DJI 2 day move size, using intraday extremes, from low to high, and also high to low. Used since KVS started in 1970. 6. Trading Edge “TE”as computed daily by the Op40 system:  Whether the direction of the DJI move (component #1) agrees or disagrees with the “TE” direction determines most signal types. For traders who prefer to learn a system in detail, then have a role in decision making,”Op40” is the recommended alternative to DTE 2007. Works well together with the “9 to 1 Edge Finder”. These two systems are featured on the last 2 pages today.   

 

Now see what the team has been capable of, and how to order the DTE 2007 service. Thank you for choosing a KVS product!

 

                        SIGNAL    OPTION   BUY   TARGETS AND DAYS TO ACHIEVE THEM

DATE  TYPE  CHOICE  PRICE  ORIG DAYS  HIGH DAYS  NORM %GAIN

3/ 2   4N   MAR650C  1.80  2.70   0   2.80   0   2.75 + 53%

3/ 5   4N   APR660C  2.90  4.30   X   4.20   3   4.20 + 45%

3/ 6   3N   APR580P  1.85  2.75   X   2.25   4   2.05 + 11%

3/13   3N   APR580P  2.25  3.40   0   3.40   0   3.40 + 51%

3/14   1N   APR655C  3.10  4.60   X   4.00   3   4.00 + 29%

3/19   1N   APR600P  1.85  2.75   X   1.90   0   1.25 – 32%

3/20   1    APR660C  2.15  3.20   0   6.80   1   5.00 +132%

3/21   1N   APR665C  3.00  4.30   1   4.40   1   4.35 + 45%

3/21   2N   APR635P  2.40  3.60   2   4.90   4   4.25 + 77%

3/23   5    APR635P  2.60  3.90   0   4.90   2   4.40 + 69%

3/28   1N   APR625P  1.70  2.55   0   3.10   0   2.83 + 66%

 

4/ 3   1N   APR665C  2.25  3.40   0   3.50   2   3.45 + 53%

4/11   2N   MAY675C  2.50  3.70   1   7.00   2   5.35 +114%

4/12   1N   MAY675C  3.20  4.80   1   8.50   2   6.65 +108%

4/16   3N   MAY685C  2.40  3.60   1   5.90   3   4.75 + 98%

4/20   1    MAY695C  1.85  2.75   2   3.30   2   3.03 + 64%

4/25   1N   MAY695C  3.00  4.50   X   2.95   2   2.95 -  2%

4/27   5    MAY665P  1.90  2.85   0   3.40   1   3.13 + 64%

5/ 2   1N   MAY695C  2.50  3.70   1   4.50   2   4.10 + 64%

5/11   1N   JUN710C  2.05  3.10   1   4.10   4   3.60 + 75%

5/16   1N   JUN710C  2.90  4.30   2   4.40   2   4.35 + 50%

5/22   5    JUN675P  1.80  2.70   1   3.10   1   2.90 + 61%

5/24   2N   JUN710C  1.85  2.75   2   4.20   4   3.48 + 88%

5/30   1N   JUN710C  3.00  4.20   1   4.20   1   4.20 + 40%

5/30   4N   JUN690P  1.90  2.60   0   4.00   4   3.30 + 73%

 

6/ 6   1    JUL650P  2.65  4.00   0   4.20   1   4.10 + 55%

6/ 7   3N   JUL630P  2.10  3.10   X   1.95   2   1.95 -  7%

6/ 8   1N   JUL715C  3.30  4.60   3   6.40   4   5.50 + 67%

6/13   1N   JUL715C  3.50  5.20   1   6.40   1   5.80 + 66%

6/15   1    JUL725C  2.45  3.70   X   2.40   2   2.35 -  4%

6/19   5    JUL670P  1.50  2.25   0   4.00   1   3.13 +109%

6/20   1N   JUL670P  3.20  4.80   1   6.60   3   5.70 + 78%

6/21   2N   JUL670P  2.75  4.10   0   6.60   2   5.35 + 94%

6/22   1N   JUL655P  2.30  3.40   1   4.10   2   3.75 + 63% 

6/26   6    JUL710C  2.00  3.00   0   3.70   1   3.35 + 67%

6/27   1N   JUL710C  2.75  4.00   3   4.10   3   4.05 + 47%

6/27   2N   JUL655P  1.50  2.20   1   2.30   1   2.25 + 50%

6/29   5    JUL710C  2.50  3.70   1   4.40   4   4.05 + 62%

 

7/ 2   1N   JUL710C  2.80  4.20   2   4.40   3   4.30 + 54%

7/10   1N   AUG640P  2.30  3.40   X   1.10   3   1.10 – 52%

7/11   1    AUG730C  2.10  3.10   0   6.40   1   4.75 +126%

 

Notes on column content, more detail when you subscribe:  SIGNAL TYPE is determined by which components played a role. BUY PRICE is specified in daily email. ORIGINAL TARGET (sell) is specified in daily email. X indicates the target was not reached and needed to be lowered in follow-on email. DAY 0 means the day of purchase, 1 is a day later, etc. NORM is the average gain, halfway between minimum (original) and high, you get guidelines up front, then comments in daily email.

 

How to order the Early Release at Lowest Price:  Cost is $409 including the current DTE 2006 system, with rules for 30% gains and new guidelines for larger gains, also including 3 months daily email, with quick gain entry & exit, as well as large gain entry & exit. On Aug 31, 2007 the fee will approximately double. Order with credit card by email to kvshotlines@aol.com or by calling toll free: 800-334-0411 x12D. All system user questions are answered same day or next. Renewal fees are $219 for 3 months or $389 for 6. Mail orders: call or send email to say this is your preference, and you’ll get a code and address.

KVS #952 page 3

*********************************************************************

"OPTIONS 40 IN 4"  - 12TH YEAR, 2007 -  LONG TERM WIN RATIO 78%

OPTION BUYER’S ADVANTAGE: ANY KIND OF MARKET IS OK FOR OP40!

*********************************************************************

 

Already in its 12th year, Options "40 In 4" ("Op40") continues to exceed both its long term goals:  1. A 75% win ratio:  3 of 4 trades producing gains.  2. An average rise of +24% per option, within 4 sessions.  We set the second goal by targeting this sequence for 4 consecutive, representative signals:   +40% ... +40% ... +40% ... and -25% ...  (+120 - 25 = +95,  and  +95/4 = +24).   How goals have been surpassed is shown below and on the next page, summarizing all performance periods to date.  Each period is normally 25 calendar days but may vary slightly with our publication schedule. Update coming late September.

 

 --- TRADING ---  WIN:LOSS  -- SIGNAL PERFORMANCE --  TOTAL

 PERIOD  SIGNALS   RATIO    TOT % RISE   AVGE % RISE  "RPS"

 1-104   1458    1159:299    +50480%        + 34%    1262.0

  105      11       7: 4      + 140%        + 13%       3.5

  106      14      12: 2      + 740%        + 53%      18.5

  107      13      11: 2      + 300%        + 23%       7.5

  108       9       6: 3      + 160%        + 18%       4.0

  109      12      10: 2      + 520%        + 43%      13.0

  110      11       9: 2      + 440%        + 40%      11.0

  111      10       8: 2      + 280%        + 28%       7.0

  112      10       6: 4      + 280%        + 28%       7.0

  113      10       8: 2      + 180%        + 18%       4.5

  114      11       9: 2      + 360%        + 33%       9.0

  115      16      10: 6      + 180%        + 11%       4.5

  116       8       7: 1      + 240%        + 30%       6.0

  117      12       7: 5      + 240%        + 20%       6.0

  118      14      11: 3      + 480%        + 34%      12.0

  119      11       7: 4      + 160%        + 15%       4.0

  120      13       8: 5      + 180%        + 14%       4.5

  121      11      10: 1      + 500%        + 45%      12.5

  122      17      11: 6      + 460%        + 27%      11.5

  123      13      11: 2      + 740%        + 56%      18.5

  124      14      11: 3      + 520%        + 37%      13.0

  125      14      12: 2      + 680%        + 48%      17.0

  126      14      10: 4      + 360%        + 26%       9.0

  127      12       9: 3      + 200%        + 17%       5.0

  128      15      11: 4      + 520%        + 34%      13.0

  129      19      16: 3      + 420%        + 22%      10.5

  130      15      13: 2      + 440%        + 29%      11.0

  131      14      11: 3      + 400%        + 29%      10.0

  132      14      12: 2      + 580%        + 41%      14.5

  133      14      11: 3      + 560%        + 40%      14.0

  134      15       8: 7      + 120%        +  8%       3.0

  135      15      11: 4      + 420%        + 28%      10.5

  136      16      14: 2      + 640%        + 40%      16.0

  137      13      10: 3      + 280%        + 22%       7.0

  138      11       8: 3      + 320%        + 29%       8.0

  139      15      12: 3      + 640%        + 43%      16.0

  140      17       9: 8      + 200%        + 12%       5.0

  141      16      12: 4      + 420%        + 26%      10.5

  142      15      10: 5      + 320%        + 21%       8.0

  143      15      10: 5      + 440%        + 29%      11.0

  144      13      12: 1      + 700%        + 54%      17.5

  145      17      12: 5      + 580%        + 34%      14.5

  146      12       9: 3      + 460%        + 38%      11.5

  147      14      12: 2      + 540%        + 39%      13.5

  148      13       9: 4      + 360%        + 28%       9.0

  149      12       8: 4      + 440%        + 37%      11.0

  150      12       8: 4      + 260%        + 22%       6.5

  151      13      12: 1      + 680%        + 52%      17.0

  152      13      11: 2      + 300%        + 23%       7.5

  153      14      11: 3      + 500%        + 36%      12.5

 ALL 153 2115    1654:461    +70360%        + 33%    1759.0

 

The 78% win ratio (1654 gains/2115 signals) exceeds the 75% goal. Average +33% rise (70360/2115) exceeds the +24% goal.  So results are not skewed by very large rises, we limit them to +100%, and in computing RPS (Rated Performance Score)  we make +80% the max (RPS = 0.5 for every 20%).  The system prevents trades likely to underperform, limiting some periods to  10 trades.  Next page:  recent record trade by trade.  Milestone Special!  Order Op40 at the 1996 Charter rate and  receive besides:  3 months toll free voice, or Email  hotline.  Special combo $545. To include “9 to 1 Edge Finder” (see other page) add only $130, total $675.  Hotline is your daily price source and learning aid, with complete price data for the two SP100 options (one call, one put) whose price action produces the exclusive Trading Edge.  Hotline computes the edge as well!

 OP40  TRADE   OPTION   TRDG    % RISE AT LEAST   RISE   MIN % LOSS   PERFORMANCE   AVG   ROSE

SIGNAL  SEQ    CHOICE   EDGE  +20  +40  +60  +80  <20%  -1  -40 –60   RPS   CUMUL   BUY    TO

APR 27           (C)      1    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0    0.0

    30    1    MAY665P    6    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  -55  ..  - 1.0  - 1.0   2.45  1.10

MAY 1+           (P)      1    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  - 1.0

    2     2    MAY695C    6    ..   ..  +70   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.5  + 0.5   2.62  4.50

    3+    3      “”       8   +27   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 0.5  + 1.0   3.30  4.50

    4     4    MAY700C   10    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  -27   ..  ..  - 0.5  + 0.5   2.05  1.50

    7+    5    JUN715C    4   +28   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 0.5  + 1.0   1.60  2.05

    8     6      “”       4   +21   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 0.5  + 1.5   1.70  2.05

    9+    7      “”       6    ..  +45   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.0  + 2.5   1.35  2.00

   10+    8    JUN650P    6    ..   ..   ..   ..  + 2   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 2.5   1.87  1.90

   11     9    JUN710C    7    ..   ..  +70   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.5  + 4.0   2.37  4.10

   14            (P)      2    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 4.0

   15    10    JUN710C   10    ..   ..  +75   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.5  + 5.5   2.52  4.40

   16    11      “”       8    ..  +55   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.0  + 6.5   2.85  4.40

   17    12      “”       5   +28   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 0.5  + 7.0   3.45  4.40

   18+   13    JUN715C    4   +21   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 0.5  + 7.5   1.93  2.30

   21+           (P)      3    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 7.5

   22            (P)      1    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 7.5

   23+           (C)      1    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 7.5

***   PERIOD 152:  RATED PERFORMANCE MONITOR   ……………………………………………………         + 7.5

***  SIGNALS FLAGGED +  ENHANCED BY “9 TO 1 EDGE FINDER”, NEW SUM ……        +16.0

               

MAY24+    1    JUN675P    4    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  -21   ..  ..  - 0.5  - 0.5   1.78  1.40

   25     2    JUN710C    5    ..   ..   .. +100   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  + 1.5   1.92  4.20

   29           NONE      0    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 1.5

   30     3    JUN710C    7   +35   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 0.5  + 2.0   3.12  4.20

   31     4    JUN690P    6    ..   ..   .. +100   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  + 4.0   1.70  4.00

JUN 1     5    JUN715C    5    ..  +45   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.0  + 5.0   1.30  1.90

    4+    6    JUL735C    4    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   .. -60  - 1.5  + 3.5   1.55   .60

    5            (P)      3    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 3.5

    6+    7    JUL650C    5    ..  +55   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.0  + 4.5   2.67  4.20

    7+    8    JUL630P   10   +30   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 0.5  + 5.0   1.50  1.95

    8     9    JUL715C    4    ..   ..   .. +100   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  + 7.0   3.20  6.40

   11    10      “”       7    ..   ..   .. +100   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  + 9.0   2.30  6.40

   12+          NONE      0    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 9.0

   13    11    JUL715C    7    ..   ..   ..  +80   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  +11.0   3.50  6.40

   14+   12    JUL720C    8    ..   ..   ..   ..  + 3   ..   ..  ..    0.0  +11.0   3.70  3.80

   15+   13    JUL725C    4    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  -35   ..  ..  - 0.5  +10.5   2.27  1.45

   20    14    JUL670P    6    ..   ..   ..  +85   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  +12.5   2.71  5.00

***   PERIOD 153:  RATED PERFORMANCE MONITOR   ……………………………………………………         +12.5

***  SIGNALS FLAGGED +  ENHANCED BY “9 TO 1 EDGE FINDER”, NEW SUM ……        +19.0

 

 

Teamwork: Op40 with “9 to 1 Edge Finder”  Options“40 In 4”, better known by its nick name “Op40”, has been our most popular option system since its first year. We bring you a monthly update of both the long term (previous page) and short term records (see two latest  periods above).  Major appeal of Op40 to option traders is that you learn the system, then maintain a measure of control:   you have elbow room to make your own decisions whether to trade or not – depending on size of “TE” (Trading Edge) – and whether to settle for a smaller profit quicker, or try for a  “home run”.  Note in the performance periods above:  no fewer than 11 opportunities for gains of +55% or better.  Different size profits are in different columns, for an easy scan of the distribution of smaller and larger gains. What the Op40 logic has not favored is buying at the market. Buy orders 5 to 30 cents under the previous close work the best.

 

A companion system from 2000, the “9 to 1 Edge Finder”, does buy at the next opening after a signal. What if the price gaps up, and leaves small room for profit? The “9 to 1” logic sets a limit price for a second buy a certain % under the first. If an up gap whipsaws back down, making it look like the buy was too high, buying again nearly always turns a paper loss into one or two actual gains.  Every signal flagged by + in the signal column invoked teamwork between the two systems. The foundation for both is simple math, comparing certain option prices to others, and using the percent differences for trading decisions.

 

There are 5 ways for teamwork to enhance results:  review below, then spot them in the record. For an easy scan of signal performance we have used the “RPS” (Rated Performance Score) method since the 1996 charter offer, which remains on our website www.key-volume.com.  The 5 ways, with examples:

 

1.        Op40 paused, TE (Trading Edge) was low, but “9 to 1” traded.  May 1, 21, 23; Jun 12. Example 6/12:  “9 to 1” Jul715C doubled 2.35 to 4.70.

2.        Op40 had a signal in one direction, “9 to 1” had one in the other direction: May 7, 9, 10; Jun 6, 15. To assure that there’s enough volatility for profit in both directions: “9 to 1” checks how high the TE is, and if it’s 7 or above it yields to Op40 without trading its own signal.

3.        “9 to 1” bought twice. May 18, 21. Example 5/21: “9 to 1” Jun675P bought 2.35 and 1.60, then profited twice on rise to 3.10.

4.        Op40 los prevented or offset by“9 to 1”:  May 24; Jun 4,15. Example 6/15: call lost, but “9 to 1” choice Jul670P more than doubled from 2.25.

5.        Both systems chose the same option, suggesting higher $ commitment: May 3, 18, 21; Jun 7, 14.

 

Option Buyer’s Advantage: Daily Market Timing is Built In!  It’s a good idea to time your larger option purchases near our projected market bottoms and tops, but for daily action simply trade the signals of “Op40” and “9 to 1”.

 

Choose from the special offers below, by email to kvshotlines@aol.com or by calling 800-334-0411 x12K. We’ll be prompt! Mail orders: Key-Volume Strategies Inc, 46 E. Lincoln Ave, White Plains NY 10604. Thank you for choosing KVS!  We’re proud of  38  years of systems and services.  

 

Offer “A”: Op40 system + 3 months nightly email which we call “the hotline” (shorter version available by phone) total $545.

Offer “B”: Op40 and “9 to 1 Edge Finder” (“9 to 1”) with 3 months nightly email hotline for both, total $675.

Offer “C”:  If you already have the Op40 system: “9 to 1” system, with 3 months hotline for both systems, $395.

Offer “D”: If you already have both systems: 3 months hotline for both systems (extension or renewal) $265.

 

KVS #952 p. 5

 

DTE 2007 Addendum, with September Grace Period   For those who’ve been curious about the durability of DTE 2007 performance, given the recent eruption of market whipsaws: this expansion of the record will speak for itself. The influence of the whipsaws is best seen in the first of the two DAYS columns, under TARGETS: note the more frequent occurrence of  X” compared to the previous table (3/2-7/11).   “X” marks those trading signals that did not reach their original exit targets. The whipsawing invoked protective rules which lowered the targets.

 

Go to the ends of the “X” rows, and you’ll find very modest gains, or losses. Our exit logic is strong on the principle that profit protection is a better discipline than waiting for a couple of extra days for losses to whipsaw back into gains. We’d do new studies if the win ratio dipped to 67%, though two of three trades winning would be acceptable to most. But we remain comfortably higher: the 8 losses in the 7/12-8/29 signal period take a back seat to 24 wins. The win ratio is 75%.

 

We do not blame traders who missed the 8/31 deadline for the Early Release Savings.  A new column DJI, second from the left, shows the Daily DJI Change that triggered each signal. The magnitudes have been “awesome”. But if you have a system that can master personality changes in the market, it’s not a good idea to wait on the sideline for the return to “normal”. This may be it! Scan the record, then we’ll update the special offer on an earlier page of this release. The Signal Type statistics, omitted this time to make room for the DJI, are provided to all new DTE 2007 system users.

 

                        SIGNAL     OPTION  BUY   TARGETS AND DAYS TO ACHIEVE THEM

DATE   DJI  CHOICE  PRICE  ORIG DAYS  HIGH DAYS  NORM %GAIN

7/12  +284  AUG735C (2.95)  --   --    --   --   SEE: 7/16

7/16  + 44  AUG675P  2.25  3.30   1   3.60   1   3.45 + 53%

7/19  + 82  AUG740C  1.65  2.45   X   1.80   1   1.80 +  9%

7/20  -149  AUG670P  2.55  3.80   1   4.50   2   4.15 + 63%

7/23  + 92  AUG735C  2.00  3.00   X   1.15   1   1.15 - 42%

7/24  -226  AUG670P  3.10  4.70   1   9.50   1   7.10 +129%

7/24  -226  AUG725C  2.25  3.00   0   3.00   0   2.97 + 33%

7/25  + 68  AUG670P  4.70  7.00   0   9.50   0   8.25 + 75%

7/26  -312  AUG635P  2.05  3.40   1   3.80   1   3.60 + 76%

7/27  -208  AUG635P  3.40  5.10   X   2.60   1   2.60 - 24%

7/27  -208  AUG710C  1.75  2.35   1   2.90   1   2.63 + 50%

7/30  + 93  AUG635P  1.40  2.10   0   3.80   0   2.95 +111%

7/31  -146  AUG625P  2.10  2.80   X   1.40   2   1.40 - 33%

7/31  -146  AUG700C  2.25  3.00   0   4.50   0   3.75 + 67%

 

8/ 1  +150  AUG705C  1.95  2.60   X   2.15   0   2.15 +  8%

8/ 1  +150  AUG625P  1.45  1.95   X   1.40   1   1.40 -  3%

8/ 2  +101  AUG650P  2.35  3.50   0   7.20   3   5.35 +127%

8/ 3  -281  AUG625P  1.80  2.40   0   2.50   0   2.45 + 36%

8/ 3  -281  AUG695C  1.55  2.05   0   7.30   1   4.67 +201%

8/ 6  +287  SEP730C  1.55  2.05   0   4.40   1   3.22 +108%

8/ 6  +287  SEP600P  2.60  3.60   2   5.00   2   4.30 + 65%

8/ 8  +154  SEP740C  1.50  2.00   0   2.10   0   2.05 + 37%

8/ 8  +154  SEP600P  3.00  4.00   0   6.90   1   5.45 + 82%

8/ 9  -387  SEP560P  2.25  3.30   3   6.30   4   4.80 +111%

8/13  - 3   SEP725C  1.35  1.80   3   2.30   3   2.05 + 52%

8/14  -208  SEP560P  2.20  3.30   0   6.30   1   4.80 +118%

8/15  -167  SEP560P  4.30  5.00   0   6.30   0   5.65 + 31%

8/17  +233  SEP560P  1.95  2.90   X    .60   3    .60 - 69%

8/22  +145  SEP715C  2.15  3.20   X   2.05   1   2.05 -  5%

8/24  +143  SEP715C  2.35  3.10   X   1.40   2   1.40 - 40%

8/27  - 57  SEP630P  3.40  4.60   0   6.00   0   5.30 + 56%

8/28  -280  SEP600P  1.90  2.50   X   1.40   1   1.40 - 26%

8/29  +247  SEP710C  2.20  2.95   0   4.40   1   3.67 + 67%

 

Q&A  Q1: I  thought the DJI has to change at least 55 points to trigger a signal. I see a +44 (7/16) and -3 (8/13) in the record, please comment.  A1: There are infrequent “3 day pattern” signals,  such as “Momentum Dry-up”, which start with a big one day change (as 7/12), and are followed by two changes less than 55.  Q2: Is there a maximum buy price, to protect against paying too much on an opening up-gap?  A2: Yes, but  large “Magnetic Band Spans” allow exceptions.  Q3: Some big DJI changes appear to generate signals for a call and put, both. Comment?  A3: Correct, our “Natural Volatility” readings suggest trading both directions, on occasion, and produce two profits rather than one, or a profit more than offsetting a loss.

 

How to order the Early Release at Lowest Price: Extended Deadline  Cost is $409, includes: 1. DTE 2006 system, forerunner of  DTE 2007, with rules for 30% gains, and a “relaxed exit” tactic for larger ones.  2. DTE 2007 with focus on gains of +50% or more. Rules & guidelines.  3. Nightly advice from both:  3 months email hotline. Market forecasts included. Questions answered promptly. -- On Sep 25:  the fee will rise to $690. Order with credit card by email to kvshotlines@aol.com, copy kvsnick@aol.com. Or place your order toll free: 800-334-0411 x12D. Renewals:  $219 for 3 months or $389 for 6. Mail orders: call us, or send email to say this is your preference, and you’ll get a code and address. Thanks for choosing KVS, our 38th year!

 

 

KEY-VOLUME STRATEGIES INC.                       RELEASE #950 MAR/APR  2007                              VOL. 38  NO. 2

 

Dear Current or Prospective Subscriber or System User: Featured this time is the teamwork of “OP40”, and the “9 to 1 Edge Finder”. Read carefully and you’ll have no concern about “bad times” ahead!  We can now save first class mail time, and give Email users an edge to act on special offers with a time limit (pages 2 and 3). Thank you for choosing KVS products!

 

KVS #950 MAR/APR  2007:  “BEN, I LIKE YOUR SYSTEMS, BUT…

WHY DO YOU LEAVE SO MUCH PROFIT POTENTIAL UNUSED?”

 

The above question was addressed to Ben Sterling, a KVS systems developer who authored “Op40” and the “9 to 1 Edge Finder”. What triggered the question was a rash of very large runups by OEX (SP 100) put options during the big February market fall. To put our result tracking in perspective, and give you a head start on future market falls, we have two tables and a Q&A for you on the last page, we suggest that you go there first:

 

Just above the “Bad Times” for the Market paragraph note the substantial difference for period #149 between the performance score (RPS) for Op40 by itself: RPS = 11, and the enhanced score using Op40 and “9 to 1” teamwork, RPS = 22. You’ll probably ask if you’re reading this correctly: double the percent achieved, using the two systems together, in the same amount of time?  Yes, you are reading correctly. The profit potential of the “9 to 1 Edge Finder” had a “back seat” in previous presentations. This was mainly because of relatively few signals in several months. But there have been enough busy months to justify today’s feature, and begin realizing more of the profit potential than we had previously settled for.

 

The signal tracking format below is very similar to that on the last page, but the content includes “9 to 1” results in extra rows that follow Op40 results. If no “9 to 1” signal, then the Op40 signal is not repeated from the last page.  In the second column: “9 to 1 Decision”, if CALL or PUT is underlined, then both systems had a trading signal for the same option. You’ll find 8 such cases for the two performance periods #148 and #149, separated by a row of hyphens.. When the two systems support one another this way, a larger dollar commitment (1.5 to 2 times) is justified. What about the other 10 signals? Pass them by? You will not want to! Scan the table, see if you get an idea or two. Then go on to the facts and suggestions that follow.

 

 OP40 “9to1”  OPTION   OP40    % RISE AT LEAST   RISE  MIN%LOSS  -- RPS --   AVG   ROSE

SIGNAL DECN   CHOICE    TE   +20  +40  +60  +80  <20%  -1  -40   OP40 9to1   BUY    TO 

JAN12+        FEB675C    8    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   -16  ..  - 0.5        2.93  2.45

   12+ CALL     “”       8    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   -14  ..        -0.5   3.60  3.10

   16+        PAUSE-C    1    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..    0.0

   16+ CALL   FEB675C    1   +24x2 ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..        +1.0   2.50  3.10

   29+        FEB650P    5    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   -27  ..  - 0.5        1.24   .50

   29+ CALL   FEB670C   [5]   ..   ..   .. +100   ..   ..   ..        +2.0   1.80  4.30

   30+        PAUSE-C    4    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..    0.0                   

   30+ CALL   FEB670C    4    ..   ..   .. +100   ..   ..   ..        +2.0   1.90  4.30

   31+        FEB670C    8   +29   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  + 0.5        3.25  4.20

   31+ CALL     “”       8   +20   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..        +0.5   3.50  4.20

FEB 6+        PAUSE-P    4    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..    0.0

    6+ CALL   MAR685C   [4]   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   –2x2 ..        –0.5   1.38  1.35

    7+        MAR650P    3    ..   ..  +65   ..   ..   ..   ..  + 1.5        2.65  4.40

    7+  PUT     “”       3    ..   ..  +63   ..   ..   ..   ..        +1.5   2.70  4.40

        *** PERIOD #148 TOTALS, FOR DAYS WITH DUAL SYSTEM ACTIVITY ……  + 1.0 +6.0       

 

FEB 8+        MAR650P    3    ..   ..   .. + 80  ..    ..   ..  + 2.0        2.42  4.40

    8+ CALL   MAR680C   [3]   ..  +45x2 ..   ..   ..   ..   ..        +2.0   1.98  2.90

    9+        MAR640P    8   +24   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  + 0.5        2.10  2.60

    9+  PUT     “”       8    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  –40x2      -2.0   1.86  1.10

   12+        MAR640P    7    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  -40  - 1.0        1.78  1.10

   12+  PUT     “”       7    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  –40x2      -2.0   1.80  1.00

   13+        MAR675C    4    ..   .. [+65]  ..   ..   ..   ..    0.0       [3.10] 5.10 

   13+ CALL     “”       4    ..  +55   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..        +1.0   3.20  5.00

   14+        MAR680C    7    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  -50  - 1.0        1.90   .95

   14+  PUT   MAR650P   [7]   ..   ..   ..   ..  + 9   ..   ..        +1.0   1.75  1.90

   15+        PAUSE      0    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..    0.0

   15+  PUT   MAR650P   [4]   ..  +40x2 ..   ..   ..   ..   ..        +2.0   1.44  2.05

   16+        PAUSE-C    1    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..    0.0

   16+ CALL   MAR680C    1   +37x2 ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..        +1.5   1.46  2.00

   20+        MAR680C    2    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   -27  ..  – 0.5        1.31   .95

   20+  PUT   MAR660P   [2]   ..  +45x2 ..   ..   ..   ..   ..        +2.0   2.88  4.30

   21+        PAUSE-P    1    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..    0.0

   21+  PUT   MAR660P    1    ..   ..  +70   ..   ..   ..   ..        +1.5   2.50  4.30

   22+        MAR660P    8    ..   ..   .. +100   ..   ..   ..  + 2.00       3.10 26.00

   22+  PUT     “”       8    ..   ..   .. +100   ..   ..   ..        +2.00  3.20 26.00 

   26+        MAR655P    8    ..   ..   .. +100   ..   ..   ..  + 2.0        4.45 22.50

   26+  PUT     “”       8    ..   ..   .. +100   ..   ..   ..        +2.00  4.50 22.50

 *** PERIOD #149 TOTALS, FOR DAYS WITH DUAL SYSTEM ACTIVITY ……  + 4.0 +11.0        

 

Four Other Ways that “9 to 1” Enhances Op40    *1. Op40 Pauses, TE too low.  But “9 to 1” trades.

 

In the Option Choice column of the joint record on page 1, PAUSE-C indicates that C = CALL had a low Trading Edge, which Op40 rules suggested not to trade. PAUSE-P was a similar restriction for a P = PUT signal. But “9 to 1” logic did have a tradable signal, why not assume that Op40 is being too cautious, and about to miss an opportunity?  The evidence supports “9 to 1” trades in such cases. Note in the next row after each occurrence of PAUSE the favorable outcomes, in the “RPS  9to1” column. Among the 6 signals (1/16, 1/30,  2/6, 2/15, 2/16, 2/21) only one resulted in a loss (2/6), so 5 of 6 cases, for an 83% win ratio, produced gains. Total RPS (Rated Performance Score) added to the Op40 record was +7.5. With each RPS = +0.5 representing a price rise of 20%, RPS = +7.5 meant an addition of +300% to enhance Op40

.

* 2. Op40 Trades One Direction, “9 to 1” trades the Opposite  These bi-directional opportunities are infrequent but potent. In the Op40 TE column look for TE values inside [  ] (brackets). Unless Op40 had a concurrent pause (as on 2/6 and 2/15), it was appropriate to trade both directions (1/29, 2/8, 2/14, 2/20). Sum the “RPS 9to1” column for these signals, and you get total RPS = +7.00. That’s another +280% added, to enhance Op40 (RPS = 1.0 represents +40%).

 

* 3. Bargain Buying: Second Buy at Lower Price on Same Signal  The “9 to 1” logic allows for a second buy on the same signal, if a price drop qualifies for a Bargain Buy. This can happen the same day or 1 day later. In tracking the signals when it did happen, we appended x2 to the % rise (or fall) to indicate that the result needs to be counted twice, because the Avg Buy column reflects the average buy price for two trades. Examples: the 1/16 “9 to 1” signal achieved +24%x2 = +48%, therefore RPS = +1, and the 2/8 signal achieved +45%x2 = +90%, therefore RPS = +2.0. Each RPS point reflects +40%.

 

* 4. Op40 loss becomes Breakeven or Overall Gain  There’s only one example available, with few Op40 losses to make good. Look at the 2/14 signals: Op40 took a 50% loss on a call, but “9 to 1” more than offset it with a put. While a 9% gain is hardly one to celebrate, when combined with the prevention of a 50% loss it is significant. We show both the loss and gain to permit this illustration, but in practice: when TE>6 and there are opposing signals by Op40 and “9 to 1”, a second test is made to decide which system to trade, or whether to trade both. In this case, trading only “9 to 1” was correct.

 

You Can Do Well with this Teamwork, KVS provides Complete Instructions  The foundation for both Op40 and the “9 to 1 Edge Finder” is simple math, comparing certain option prices to others, and using the percent differences for such decisions as: 1. Is the Trading Edge (TE) the right size for a trade, sometimes two trades?  2. Does the call or the put have the edge? 3. At what price should you buy again, in relation to the original buy?  Your “data base” of information will include a mere 8 prices: the day’s open, high, low and close for a specific call, and the same for a specific put. Op40 chooses for you, daily. To minimize your work, choose a package that comes with nightly email hotline, including TE computation; Quick Exit alert if timely for the next day; Contrarian Tactics; bargain buying; and time limit.

 

All Offers Include: “Additional Pointers for Using Op40 and  9 to 1  Together”.  By email or mail, your choice.

 

Offer “A”: Op40 system + 3 months nightly email which we call “the hotline” (shorter version available by phone) total $545.

 

Offer “B”: Op40 and “9 to 1 Edge Finder” (“9 to 1”) with 3 months nightly email hotline for both, total $675.

 

Offer “C”:  If you already have the Op40 system: “9 to 1” system, with 3 months hotline for both systems, $395.

 

Offer “D”: If you already have both systems: 3 months hotline for both systems (extension or renewal) $265.

 

 

Q8 (Q&A expanded from last page): How to Order?.  If you misplaced your Op40 charter offer, restored briefly from 1996, it’s on  our website www.key-volume.com or call for a Fax:  877-350-3796.  Order toll free:  800-334-0411 x12K or send Email to:   kvshotlines@aol.com.  Should you prefer to mail in your order, make your check to Key-Volume Strategies Inc. and address to same at: 46 E Lincoln  Ave, White Plains NY 10604. Please print in lower left corner: Attn. Scott, and also print the special offer code that we give you by email or phone when you let us know that you wish to order. Fastest service: choose offer A, B, C or D and call the 800 number above, and use a credit card.  Thank you for choosing KVS products, as we continue our 38th year!

 

Q9: Why do your tables sometimes show +100%, other times only +80%, but you take credit for only +80% (RPS=2) in either case?  A9: We report as much as was available on every signal, sometimes much more than even +100% (compare AVG BUY to ROSE TO), but we cap performance at RPS=2, which equates to +80%. Most traders don’t try for more, in a short 1 to 4 day period. We do show +100% to indicate: that much or more was available. For an option to double is a popular goal for traders, so our tables show how often a doubler was available.

 

Q10: Is a limit order necessary for buying, or can I just buy the next opening after a signal?  A10:  Op40 suggests buy orders below the previous close. It gives you statistics from past performance to help you decide how much under the close to buy, the average has been in the 25 to 35 cents range. The “9 to 1 Edge Finder” buys the next opening, but may buy a second time, the same day or next, if a bargain buy price is reached, quantified in the rules.

 

Q11: Which of your email hotline predicts tops and bottoms for the market (DJI)?  A11: The same hotline that announces and tracks the “9 o 1” signals. It is called the KVS Hotline and it not only predicts, it teaches you timing tools (some at a modest extra charge) for independent use.

 

Q12: How soon after my order can I expect the materials, and the start of the hotline(s)?  A12: We fill orders within 2 days, priority mail or email. See Q8.

KVS #950   page 3

*******************************************************************

"OPTIONS 40 IN 4"  - 12TH YEAR, 2007 -  LONG TERM WIN RATIO 78%

“BAD TIMES” FOR THE MARKET? JUST FINE FOR OP40. TIMELY Q&A!

*******************************************************************

 

Already in its 12th year, Options "40 In 4" ("Op40") continues to exceed both its long term goals:  1. A 75% win ratio:  3 of 4 trades producing gains.  2. An average rise of +24% per option, within 4 sessions.  We set the second goal by targeting this sequence for 4 consecutive, representative signals:   +40% ... +40% ... +40% ... and -25% ...  (+120 - 25 = +95,  and  +95/4 = +24).   How goals have been surpassed is shown below and on the next page, summarizing all performance periods to date.  Each period is normally 25 calendar days but may vary slightly with our publication schedule.

 

 --- TRADING ---  WIN:LOSS  -- SIGNAL PERFORMANCE --  TOTAL

 PERIOD  SIGNALS   RATIO    TOT % RISE   AVGE % RISE  "RPS"

 1-100   1407    1120:287    +49260%        + 35%    1231.5

  101      14      10: 4      + 180%        + 13%       4.5

  102      11      10: 1      + 420%        + 38%      10.5

  103      13       9: 4      + 320%        + 25%       8.0

  104      13      10: 3      + 300%        + 23%       7.5

  105      11       7: 4      + 140%        + 13%       3.5

  106      14      12: 2      + 740%        + 53%      18.5

  107      13      11: 2      + 300%        + 23%       7.5

  108       9       6: 3      + 160%        + 18%       4.0

  109      12      10: 2      + 520%        + 43%      13.0

  110      11       9: 2      + 440%        + 40%      11.0

  111      10       8: 2      + 280%        + 28%       7.0

  112      10       6: 4      + 280%        + 28%       7.0

  113      10       8: 2      + 180%        + 18%       4.5

  114      11       9: 2      + 360%        + 33%       9.0

  115      16      10: 6      + 180%        + 11%       4.5

  116       8       7: 1      + 240%        + 30%       6.0

  117      12       7: 5      + 240%        + 20%       6.0

  118      14      11: 3      + 480%        + 34%      12.0

  119      11       7: 4      + 160%        + 15%       4.0

  120      13       8: 5      + 180%        + 14%       4.5

  121      11      10: 1      + 500%        + 45%      12.5

  122      17      11: 6      + 460%        + 27%      11.5

  123      13      11: 2      + 740%        + 56%      18.5

  124      14      11: 3      + 520%        + 37%      13.0

  125      14      12: 2      + 680%        + 48%      17.0

  126      14      10: 4      + 360%        + 26%       9.0

  127      12       9: 3      + 200%        + 17%       5.0

  128      15      11: 4      + 520%        + 34%      13.0

  129      19      16: 3      + 420%        + 22%      10.5

  130      15      13: 2      + 440%        + 29%      11.0

  131      14      11: 3      + 400%        + 29%      10.0

  132      14      12: 2      + 580%        + 41%      14.5

  133      14      11: 3      + 560%        + 40%      14.0

  134      15       8: 7      + 120%        +  8%       3.0

  135      15      11: 4      + 420%        + 28%      10.5

  136      16      14: 2      + 640%        + 40%      16.0

  137      13      10: 3      + 280%        + 22%       7.0

  138      11       8: 3      + 320%        + 29%       8.0

  139      15      12: 3      + 640%        + 43%      16.0

  140      17       9: 8      + 200%        + 12%       5.0

  141      16      12: 4      + 420%        + 26%      10.5

  142      15      10: 5      + 320%        + 21%       8.0

  143      15      10: 5      + 440%        + 29%      11.0

  144      13      12: 1      + 700%        + 54%      17.5

  145      17      12: 5      + 580%        + 34%      14.5

  146      12       9: 3      + 460%        + 38%      11.5

  147      14      12: 2      + 540%        + 39%      13.5

  148      13       9: 4      + 360%        + 28%       9.0

  149      12       8: 4      + 440%        + 37%      11.0

 ALL 149 2063    1612:451    +68620%        + 33%    1715.5

 

The 78% win ratio (1612 gains/2063 signals) exceeds the 75% goal. Average +33% rise (68620/2063) exceeds the +24% goal.  So results are not skewed by very large rises, we limit them to +100%, and in computing RPS (Rated Performance Score)  we make +80% the max (RPS = 0.5 for every 20%).  The system prevents trades likely to underperform, limiting some periods to  10 trades.  Next page:  recent record trade by trade.  Anniversary Special!  Order Op40 at the 1996 Charter rate and  receive besides:  3 months toll free voice, or Email  hotline.  Special combo $545. To include “9 to 1 Edge Finder” (see other page) add only $130, total $675.  Hotline is your daily price source and learning aid, with complete price data for the two SP100 options (one call, one put) whose price action produces the exclusive Trading Edge.  Hotline computes the edge as well!

 OP40  TRADE   OPTION   TRDG    % RISE AT LEAST   RISE   MIN % LOSS   PERFORMANCE   AVG   ROSE

SIGNAL  SEQ    CHOICE   EDGE  +20  +40  +60  +80  <20%  -1  -40 –60   RPS   CUMUL   BUY    TO

JAN12+    1    FEB675C    8    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  -16   ..  ..  - 0.5  - 0.5   2.93  2.45

   16+           (C)      1    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  - 0.5

   17            NONE     0    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  - 0.5

   18     2    FEB650P    7    ..   ..   ..   ..  +19   ..   ..  ..    0.0  - 0.5   2.32  2.75

   19     3    FEB675C    6    ..   ..  +75   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.5  + 1.0   1.52  2.70

   22     4    FEB650P    6    ..   ..   ..  +80   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  + 3.0   1.80  3.30

   23     5    FEB675C    7    ..   ..   ..  +95   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  + 5.0   1.52  3.00

   24     6      “”       8    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  -15   ..  ..  - 0.5  + 4.5   2.07  1.75

   25     7    FEB670C    4    ..   ..   .. +100   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  + 6.5   2.07  4.30

   26     8      “”       9    ..   ..   .. +100   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  + 8.5   1.60  4.30

   29+    9    FEB650P    5    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  -27   ..  ..  - 0.5  + 8.0   1.24   .90

   30+           (C)      4    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 8.0

   31+   10    FEB670C    8   +29   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 0.5  + 8.5   3.25  4.20

FEB 1    11    FEB675C    8    ..   ..   ..   ..  + 3   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 8.5   1.55  1.60

    2    12      “”       4    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  -55  ..  - 1.0  + 7.5   1.40   .60

    5            NONE     0    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 7.5

    6+           (P)      4    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 7.5

    7+   13    MAR650P    3    ..   ..  +65   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 1.5  + 9.0   2.65  4.40

***   PERIOD 148:  RATED PERFORMANCE MONITOR   ……………………………………………………         + 9.0

***  SIGNALS FLAGGED +: ENHANCED BY “9 TO 1 EDGE FINDER”, NEW SUM ……        +15.0

               

FEB 8+    1    MAR650P    3    ..   ..   ..  +80   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  + 2.0   2.42  4.40

    9+    2    MAR640P    8   +24   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 0.5  + 2.5   2.10  2.60

   12+    3      “”       7    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  -44  ..  - 1.0  + 1.5   1.78  1.10

   13+         MAR675C    4    ..   ..  +65   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 1.5  [3.10] 5.10

   14+    4    MAR680C    7    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  -50  ..  - 1.0  + 0.5   1.90   .95

   15+           NONE     0    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 0.5

   16+           (C)      1    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0  + 0.5

   20+    5    MAR680C    2    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  -27   ..  ..  - 0.5    0.0   1.31   .95

   21+           (P)      1    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  ..    0.0    0.0

   22+    6    MAR660P    8    ..   ..   .. +100   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  + 2.0   3.10 26.00

   23     7    MAR655P   10    ..   ..   .. +100   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  + 4.0   1.92 22.50

   26+    8      “”       7    ..   ..   .. +100   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  + 6.0   4.45 22.50

   27     9    MAR600P    5    ..   ..   .. +100   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  + 8.0   1.10  2.75

   28    10    MAR625P    4    ..   ..   ..  +85   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  +10.0   4.00  7.50

MAR 1    11    MAR625P    7    ..   ..   .. +100   ..   ..   ..  ..  + 2.0  +12.0   2.31  3.70

    2    12    MAR605P   13    ..   ..   ..   ..   ..   ..  -45  ..  - 1.0  +11.0   2.58  1.40

***   PERIOD 149:  RATED PERFORMANCE MONITOR   ……………………………………………………         +11.0

***  SIGNALS FLAGGED +: ENHANCED BY “9 TO 1 EDGE FINDER”, NEW SUM ……        +22.0

 

“Bad Times” for the Market? Just Fine for Op40! Timely Q&A. Options“40 In 4”, better known by its nick name “Op40”, has been our most popular option system since its first year. We bring you a monthly update of both the long term (previous page) and short term records (see latest completed periods above).  Major appeal of Op40 to option traders is that you learn the system, then maintain a measure of control:   you have elbow room to make your own decisions whether to trade or not – depending on size of “TE” (Trading Edge) – and whether to settle for a smaller profit quicker, or try for a  “home run”.  Note in the performance periods above:  no fewer than 14 opportunities for gains of +55% or better.  Different size profits are in different columns, for an easy scan of the distribution of smaller and larger gains. Period #149 included a market drop of nearly 900 points! But Op40 did well. Let’s take a close look:

 

Q1: How does Op40 avoid lower performance, when the market is weak or negative?  A1: Op40 signal rules have been thoroughly tested in actual use for more than 11 years. The signal logic has been responsive, beyond our pre-launch expectations of 1996, to changes in market direction, gradual or sudden. This is reflected in the mix of trading signals, for call options which benefit from market advances, and put options which benefit from market declines.

 

Q2: What has been the mix, since the market topped out near 12800 in February?  A2: Period #149, the second of two performance periods reported above, includes Op40 signals from Feb 8, just before the decline, thru Mar 2, by when the market started to recover. Of the 12 Op40 signals traded in this period: 10 were for put options, while only 2 were for call options.

 

Q3: Overall, then, this had to have been a very good performance month for Op40, correct?  A3: Yes. The RPS total was 11.0. Each “RPS” point equates to a 40% option rise, thus RPS = 11.0 means a total of +440%. To view this from a long term perspective, scan the last column of the long term table on the previous page, with the heading “Total RPS”. For the last 16 periods, each being about 4 weeks, since #134 (see numbering in first column), performance totals ranged from a low 3.0 to a high 17.5. The latest total is near the high end, though market historians have been busy with negative statistics.

 

Q4: What about extra large gains on individual signals? On the Feb fall, I noticed several put option runs, greater than 400%, one even greater than 1000%, in just a couple of days.  A4: Because most traders don’t try for more than an 80 to 100% gain on a single signal, we cap Op40 performance at RPS = 2.0. A reliable way to exceed this cap in personal returns, and outperform Op40, is this: set a mental profit goal 40 to 50%, don’t actually place a sell order. Check daily whether the mental goal has been achieved. If yes: sell at the next opening, or at least  equal to the mental goal in case of a sudden pullback.

 

 Q5: Would you show of couple of examples for how this tactic can produce larger gains?  A5: Fine, we’ll use a 50% profit goal and measure from the next opening after an Op40 signal (though you can almost always buy lower than the opening). Feb 22 signal: Op40 choice was Mar660 put OEYOL. Opened 2/23 at 3.20. Mental goal: 3.20 + 50% = 4.80. Reached 2 days later. Next opening (2/28)  was 19.40. Rise from 3.20 was +506%. Feb 23 signal: Op40 choice Mar655 put OEYOK opened next day at 2.05. Mental goal: 2.05 + 50% = 3.10. Reached 1 day later. Next opening (2/28) was 15.90. From 2.05: +675%.

 

Q6: Going back to A4, would you show a “sudden pullback” example, with the mental goal becoming the actual goal?  A6: Feb 27 signal: Op40 choice Mar600 put OEYOT opened next day at 1.55. Mental goal: 1.55 + 50% = 2.35. Reached on a rise to 2.75 a day later. A sudden pullback the same day (3/1) lowered the price to 1.00. The 2.35 goal  became the actual goal, with a limit order placed to sell. Reached at 3/5 opening of 2.50 for gain of +61%.

 

Q7: How does the “9 to 1 Edge Finder” add to profits of Op40 signals?  A7: This is the main topic of the first 2 pages, go back to the front page.

 

                       

KEY-VOLUME STRATEGIES INC.                       RELEASE #948 NOV/DEC 2006                              VOL. 37  NO. 9

 

Dear Current or Prospective Subscriber or System User:  Featured systems in this release are again MAGOP, on the first two pages, and Options “40 In 4” on the last two.  Special offers are on page 4. We’re pleased that we can now save first class mailing time, and give Email users an edge to act on special offers with a time limit. Thank you for choosing KVS products.

 

KVS #948 NOV/DEC 2006:  “MAGNETIC BANDS” ADD TO THEIR

 OPTION TRADING PROFIT RECORD, WITH ADVANCED ENTRY/EXIT LOGIC

 

A KVS invention from more than a quarter century ago, “Magnetic Bands”, has revealed an unplanned ability to generate quick turnaround profits in S&P index options. As we’ve been reminding trading enthusiasts since Release #945:  If you seek to improve your investment results consistently, sometimes “when you least expect it you’re selected” for a profitable surprise.  It was during a routine update of market turn statistics, a little over a year ago, that we made the discovery. We did not expect an invention to result, but one did!  We’ve been grateful, and have shared the basics with a growing number of investors who read a KVS release in the #945-948 range, and ordered at modest prices that may well look too low for a complete system. But we’re not aiming at “home runs” with our fees, we’d rather broaden our user base with new users from all income levels.

 

See the rest of this page, and the next page, for your introduction, or re-introduction, with expanded record. The one time fee for the system is now $290, just $80 more than earlier. An additional $199 brings you a daily email with specific SP100 options, and specific entry & exit prices, saving you substantial self study. What is the key to continuing profits? It’s what we call the Magnetic Bands Options Connection: MAGOP for short. MAGOP combines the long term success of Dow (DJI) support & resistance bands, now in their 28th year, with short term profit opportunities from DJI rallies and pullbacks, typically   160 or more points. Many, perhaps most of you have probably not been aware that such moves occur almost every two days. Watching only DJI closings conceals the all-important intraday moves that reward MAGOP signals several times a week. Scan the latest segment of the record below, then read on for how you can start sharing the benefits.

View Table

 

 

 

Observe the Trade Map column in the center: for each signal (always received after the close) you see a code. This is called the Action Pointer (AP). The daily email advice includes the specific option to trade, with its symbol and closing price, and also the AP code which points to a specific row in a decision table called the Trade Map. Users receive the system instructions, along with the Trade Map, a day or two after ordering MAGOP. Your daily routine, fully usable without studying the rules, will be to find the AP row, read across, and do simple math (subtraction and addition) to determine prices for placing orders.

 

Daily Signal Tracking: Keys to MAGOP Record (p.1)  The table shows you the origin and outcome of MAGOP signals for the latest two month period, as of the publication of Rel #948 in the latter part of November.  For readers who just want the Trade Map and daily email advice, there is more detail than needed. Later you may wish to learn the rules for independent use, then all content will become important. For now, view the content as a display of the thoroughness of the system logic on which the daily advice is founded. Which columns would be best to get familiar with now? Follow along in the record:

 

DJI Swings: Signals were received at the DJI levels shown, on the dates shown, after the close. What generated the signals? The prime trigger was move size. The Signal Swing column, with the larger numbers, measures maximum intraday moves, usually for 2 days, exceptionally for 3. The Verify Swing column measures to the DJI closing only, for signal verification. The relationship between the two sizes, the Swing Ratio, is a key determinant of whether to trade the signal or omit it. Omitted trades are excluded from the record. You’re probably curious about move sizes preceded by the letter D: it stands for divergent behavior, such as an intraday up move with a down closing, or down move with an up closing. This is important for the system logic, but not important to learn by email advice followers. We know, it’s difficult to see things flagged and be told it’s not important to know why. But you can be a MAGOP “driver” without being a MAGOP “mechanic”. First things first.

 

Option Choices and Action Prices  Starting with the Option Choice column at page center, you see exactly what the Trade Map told users to buy, at prices known as the Norm and Bargain. For some signal patterns such as Q+ or M (shown in Trade  Map column) Norm Buy is a buy at the next opening. For other patterns such as Q or Q#, Norm is a certain % under the Signal Close. The Bargain Buy price, set for a second, lower buy on the same signal, is not usually reached. When not reached it is shown in [brackets]. Whether it executes or not, the bargain buy price is important for the Exit price logic of the system. Trade results: if % Gain is underlined it is to be counted twice when aggregating results, because it’s the average gain from two buys on the same signal. The High column shows the best available outcome for a signal, on system exit day or a day later. MAGOP does not take credit for these high gains (or smaller losses). They’re shown for comparison, and as an incentive for independent optimization effort by users. As we come to new conclusions,  we plan to share optimization with users. See Q&A on page 4!

 

MAGNETIC BANDS: SUBSET OF TABLE COMING IN RELEASE #949, WITH SPECIAL DJI 11000+ FOCUS

 

                      ZONE    BAND    RANGE    RANK  FOCAL NBRS CNT UP>30
              ********** **** *********** **** *********** *********
              Blowoff     110 12300-12399   2  12356-12369
                         109 12200-12299   1  12223-12242    34
              ------------------------------------------------------
              Resistance  107 12000-12099   3  12074          49
                         106 11900-11999   3  11932          37
              Res/Trans   105 11800-11899   2  11854-11882    40
                         104 11700-11799   1  11753-11776    41
              ------------------------------------------------------
              Transition  102 11500-11599   3  11548          43
                         101 11400-11499   2  11454-11479    34
                          99 11200-11299   1  11230-11275
              ------------------------------------------------------


Our intent with this subset, initially brought to attention on a KVS email hotline, is to give a timely preview of the larger table in Rel #949. We needed to alert subscribers:  there will not be a "return to reality" by way of a major drop into lower and stronger bands than those in this subset. The strongest zone, the Support Zone, bands #94 through #98, with magnetic target counts in the 189-214 range, is not even shown in this preview. Trading above the Support Zone, in the 3 zones highlighted here, has become the new reality for market timers. By the time  #949 follows in January, we may no longer be calling 12200+ a “blowoff” zone. The DJI didn’t just shoot up into it, then fall back. Since Oct 13, DJI 12000+ has been a daily occurrence.

The distinguishing feature of these highlighted bands is that 7 out of 9, a convincing majority, have had the largest target count increases since Rel #945. The increase has been in the 34 to 49 range (see last column) in bands #101 through #109. In contrast, the largest increase in any band in the Support Zone has been 15. This means that buying support for some time to come, several months, will be found primarily in the Transition Zone, and even higher in the lower portion of the Resistance zone, identified here as Res/Trans (Resistance/Transition).  Prime importance of RANK is to users of MAGOP (Magnetic Bands Options Connection), our latest system, featured in Releases #945 thru #948.

In order for this preview to be of most benefit, study Rel #945 which gives you a full intro to Magnetic Bands. These bands have been one of our major market timing assets since their discovery over 27 years ago. If you do not have  #945, or it's not handy, ask for it by email to kvshotlines@aol.com. Our response will include an attachment which is a 4 page Word File.

 KVS hotlines discuss Magnetic Bands regularly, and forecast tops and bottoms using the focal numbers within the bands. Current fees: $279/6 mos, $449/full year. Thank you for choosing KVS systems and services. More choices on page 4.

 

KVS #948  P. 3

*******************************************************************

"OPTIONS 40 IN 4"  - 11TH YEAR  -  2006 RECORD CONTINUES

WINNING TRADE RATIO:  PLANNED 75%,  ACHIEVED 78%

*******************************************************************

 

Near the end of its 11th year, Options "40 In 4" ("Op40") continues to exceed both its performance goals:  1. A 75% win ratio:  3 of 4 trades producing gains.  2. An average rise of +24% per option, within 4 sessions.  We set the second goal by targeting this sequence for 4 consecutive, representative signals:   +40% ... +40% ... +40% ... and -25% ...  (+120 - 25 = +95,  and  +95/4 = +24).   How goals have been surpassed is shown below and on the next page, summarizing all performance periods to date.  Each period is normally 25 calendar days but may vary slightly with our publication schedule.

View Table

 

 

The 78% win ratio (1574 gains/2012 signals) exceeds the 75% goal. Average +33% rise (66820/2012) exceeds the +24% goal.  So that results are not skewed by very large rises, we limit rises to +100%, and in computing RPS (Rated Performance Score)  we make +80% the max (RPS = 0.5 for every 20%).  The system prevents trades likely to under perform, limiting some periods to 10 or less trades.  Next page:  recent record trade by trade.  Anniversary Special!  Order Op40 at the 1996 Charter rate and   receive besides:  3 months toll free voice, or Email  hotline.  Your special combo fee of $545 is less than the current $675 fee for Op40 alone.  Hotline messages are your daily price source and learning aid, with complete price data for the two SP100 options (one call, one put) whose price action produces the exclusive Trading Edge.  Hotline computes the edge as well!

View Table

 

 

More Choices for Systematic Option Trading  Options “40 In 4”, better known by its nick name “Op40”, has been our most popular  option system since its first year. We bring you a monthly update of both the long term (previous page) and short term records (see above; latest period, beyond Nov 14 signal, is not complete, it will be in Rel #949).  Major appeal of Op40 to option traders is that you learn the system, then maintain a measure of control:   you have elbow room to make your own decisions whether to trade or not – depending on size of “TE” (Trading Edge) – and whether to settle for a smaller profit quicker, or try for a  “home run”.  Note in the performance periods above that there were no fewer than 15 opportunities for gains of +55% or better.  Different size profits are in different columns, for an easy scan of the distribution of smaller and larger gains.  What the Op40 logic does not give you is specific entry and exit prices.  If that’s what you prefer, give today’s intro to “Magnetic Bands: Options Connection” a close look.  Ideas for using Op40 and “Mag Bands” together:  1.  If both favor the same option with concurrent signals, commit 1.5 times or even twice your usual $ amount to a trade.  2. If Op40 does not have a tradable signal but “MAGOP” does:  trade the option choice of the latter as if it were an Op40 choice.   If you have yet to acquire Op40, see special offers on previous page.  If you misplaced your Op40 charter offer, restored briefly from 1996, it’s on  our website www.key-volume.com or call for a Fax:  877-350-3796.  Order toll free:  800-334-0411 x12K or send Email to:   kvshotlines@aol.com.  Welcome to KVS products and services: starting our 38th year!

 

MAGOP System Questions Answered   Q1:Do results vary much from one 2 month period to another?  A1: Variance since Sept 2005: Lowest win ratio 78%, highest win ratio 92%. Q2: Does MAGOP use stops to limit losses? A2: Not stops, but protective tactics which add a certain % to low prices that follow buys, if considered low enough to be warnings. When the Profit Guide column (last in p. 1 table) shows a code starting with L, protective math was invoked. MAGOP also uses time limits, commonly 4 days, see TL codes in same column.  Q3: What happens if the suggested entry price is not hit? Try again next day?  A3: No, if the entry price is missed, the signal is excluded from the record. Buy orders are not repeated a day later: by then MAGOP is focused on new data for a potential new signal. 

 

Q4:  Are there days when MAGOP recommends both a call and a put? A4: Yes, infrequently. Most of the time the larger DJI swing gets the signal, but if two patterns are equally convincing, MAGOP tries to profit in both directions. See Nov 1, 7, 10 and 14 in the record. Q5: Will I know my MAGOP profit  taking goal even before buying the recommended option?  A5: Yes, you’ll get this from the Action Pointer (AP) code, which you look in the Trade Map to read out the complete advice. Q6: How are Magnetic Bands created and tracked? A6: Every DJI drop of 60 or more points is recorded. When the starting point of a drop is exceeded on a subsequent rally, we use special math to project 4 target numbers. They’re sorted into 50 and 100 point bands. We examine bands daily and use them for support and resistance input to our market top and bottom forecasts. See the recent email hotline feature in the lower part of page 2.

 

How to Order KVS, or a KVS/MAGOP package:  For a 6 month KVS subscription, which brings one detailed release per month as the one you’re reading, and 4 or 5 emails per week, fee is $279.  For a full year it’s $449. You get market timing, and intro to timing tools. KVS/MAGOP Package: Includes $290 one time charge for the MAGOP rules and Trade Map, and a KVS subscription for 4 months for $199. Total $489. Daily MAGOP email is part of the KVS hotline. How to Order “Op40”:  See “More Choices” above, under the performance tables. KVS/MAGOP/Op40 Combo:  Separately the packages would cost $489 + 545 = $1034. If you order together you get a 7.5% discount: Net $956.  For all orders, toll free: 800-334-0411 x12M.  Email: kvshotlines@aol.com.  Mail:  Key-Volume Strategies, 46 E Lincoln  Ave, White Plains NY 10604. Please print in lower left corner: Attn. Scott, and also print the special offer code that we give you by email or phone when you let us know that you wish to order.  Thank you for choosing KVS products as we begin our 38th year!

                                                           

KEY-VOLUME STRATEGIES INC.                      RELEASE #945 MAY/JUNE 2006                                 VOL. 37  NO. 6

 

Dear Current or Prospective Subscriber or System User:  You get to view this release several days earlier than those who need to wait for their first class mail.  This enables you to benefit from educational features sooner, and gives you extra time to act on special offers with a time limit (see pages 3 & 4).  We’re pleased that we can now distribute our material by Email and Internet, and give early readers an edge.  Thank you for choosing the KVS family of investment products and services!  

 

KVS #945 MAY/JUNE  2006:  “MAGNETIC BANDS” INCREASE THEIR

 OPTION TRADING PROFITABILITY WITH SPECIFIC ENTRY/EXIT MODULE

 

If you seek to improve your investment results consistently, sometimes “when you least expect it you’re selected” for a profitable surprise.  A routine update of statistics on 2005 market turns and move sizes picked us for such a surprise last fall, as shared with readers in #939.  A KVS invention from more than a quarter century ago, “Magnetic Bands”, revealed an unplanned ability to generate large gains, in a matter of 5 or fewer days, from S&P 100 options.  The stage for such gains is set when the DJI rises or falls into a band which is the strongest or second strongest in its zone.  If you’re not acquainted with the support & resistance mechanics of Magnetic Bands, look ahead to page 2 now.  Then return here so that we may demonstrate the increased profitability of “band trading” with index options, not only for large gains – which may come only 2-3 times a month – but for much more frequent modest profits as well, in the +25% to +65% range.  Scan the record below, for starters, then read on, for a detailed intro including special offers to acquire the “Magnetic Bands Options Connection.”  The record shows all the signals for the first two months, which were the basis for developing the rules, and the latest two months,  which will allay any fear that what worked just fine last fall may not work now, because “the market is different”.

 

View Table

 

What Makes “Magnetic Bands” and Index Options a Reliable Profit Team?   1. Recurring DJI swings in the 200-300 points range, rewarding both sides of the market. See the DJI signal triggers, and move sizes that led to them, in the first 3 columns.  2. Most moves end in bands ranked 1 or 2, where they are ripe for reversal. When exceptionally they are not, our verification logic screens them out, and the record does not include them.  Moves then get larger, till a trigger gives us a verified hit. (p. 4)

 

 

     

 

"Magnetic Bands" In 27th Year   These bands have served us well with targets in both directions.  How bands are built and maintained is a technical KVS/Stock Performer invention, keeping track of  support and resistance ranges or "bands" for active investors.  Subscribers have found a reliable "comfort zone" in the uniformity of each updated table.  But on Nov 11, 2003 we needed to surprise our readers because of what we called a "curious recent development":  it prompted a break from tradition, in the way we present the bands.  We are staying on the new track. Scan the table, but before you do: for easiest reading click on your maximize symbol.

 

View Table

 

 

Compared to earlier presentations as in #901/902, the break produced these differences:  1. Shorter table: 26 bands today vs. 29 in #901/902.  2. The new presentation has been stretching higher: top band was #86 in 901/902, #91 in 907/908, #95 in 910,  #98 in 914, #101 in 934, and it’s #106 now.  3. In Aug 2003 the strongest band was 9400-9499 (#81).  Since then  the same band has been the weakest!  The curious development, responsible for our revised content and emphasis, was the infrequency of market drops of 500+ points.  Major shift in magnetic bands support?  We concluded yes, but temporary.  And it has been:

 

Examples of exceptions that proved us right:  1. From 10755 on 7/29/05 to 10098 on 10/13, the DJI fell 657 points.  2. From the 10/13 low to a high of 11179 on 2/17/06 the DJI rose 1081 pts.  But we still expect moves under 500 points to dominate by a decisive margin.  Note that within the 1081 point resurgence, 3 setbacks measured 321 pts (10483 to 10162), 304 pts (10998 to 10694), and 492 pts (11099 to 10607).  Total setback points = 1117, more than the entire resurgence so far.  The recurring prominence of even smaller 200-300 point moves has been instrumental in  our launching the Options Connection, see p. 1. 

 

Magnetic Bands:  How Support & Resistance Are Built   Building blocks of the table are DJI drops of 60 or more points, numbering 3018 thru 5/25, and corresponding rebounds of at least 60.  Magnetic Bands allow you an arm's length view of the market, 3 to 5 times a year, and to look ahead 2 to 4 months at a time, as an extra dimension to your work with daily  tools.

 

Here's how we get magnetic bands and focal numbers for forecasting:  When the starting level of a 60 point or larger DJI decline is revisited or passed on a rally, the formula gives us 4 target numbers: We sort them into 50-point DJI bands, and keep a target count for each band.  The higher the count, the more magnetic the band.  Other strength factors: A big value gap in a target count sequence, particularly where two zones meet, as bands #92 and #93, and #99 & #100, makes both bands stronger.  A sharp rise in target count, since the previous table, also makes a band extra strong.  Biggest rises in target counts since Rel #942 have occurred in bands #102 and 103.  We number 100 point bands low to high to give them an ID.  The 50 point bands inside are marked HI 50, the upper 50 point half, and LOW 50, the lower 50 point half.  An especially strong magnetic band first pulls the market into it, then repels it back into the nearest strong band above or below.  Today's table is divided into these six investment zones:

 

Upside Blowoff (bands 104-106), Resistance (100-103), Transition (97-99), Short Term Support (93-96),  Long Term Support (90-92), and Downside Blowoff  (89 and below).  Transition means:  repeating switching of the function of these bands between resistance and support.  Strongest band of each zone is flagged by double*.  Other strong ones are flagged by single *.  In bold you see the corresponding most influential focal numbers.  Each is the nucleus for target concentration in a given band.  Two strongest bands now are #95 (focal number range 10859-10876) and #96 (10919-10944).  Right end of the table gives you timing detail about swings in both directions, numbered 1 to 7 for the most likely sequence of target achievement.  Trading Budget Allocation  This is how much to keep in stocks, depending on the zone the DJI is in:  Upside Blowoff zone 50%;  Resistance zone 60%;  Transition zone 70%;  Short Term Support 75%;  Long Term Support  80%;  Downside Blowoff  90%.  Rest should be in reserve (cash instruments), up to 20% of which can be put to work in index puts for portfolio protection, provided you use a system regularly such as Op40 or the “Mag Bands Options Connection”. Otherwise limit your protection to 10%.

KVS #945  P. 3

*******************************************************************

"OPTIONS 40 IN 4"  - 11TH YEAR  -  2006 RECORD CONTINUES

WINNING TRADE RATIO:  PLANNED 75%,  ACHIEVED 79%

*******************************************************************

 

Already in its 11th year, Options "40 In 4" ("Op40") continues to exceed both its performance goals:  1. A 75% win ratio:  3 of 4 trades producing gains.  2. An average rise of +24% per option, within 4 sessions.  We set the second goal by targeting this sequence for 4 consecutive, representative signals:   +40% ... +40% ... +40% ... and -25% ...  (+120 - 25 = +95,  and  +95/4 = +24).   How goals have been surpassed is shown below and on the next page, summarizing all performance periods to date.  Each period is normally 25 calendar days but may vary slightly with our publication schedule.

For easiest reading of the performance table, click on your maximize symbol.

 

View Table

 

The 79% win ratio (1509 gains/1919 signals) exceeds the 75% goal. Average +33% rise (64160/1919) exceeds the +24% goal.  So that results are not skewed by very large rises, we limit rises to +100%, and in computing RPS (Rated Performance Score)  we make +80% the max (RPS = 0.5 for every 20%).  The system prevents trades likely to under perform, limiting some periods to 10 or less trades.  Next page:  recent record trade by trade.  Anniversary Special!  Order Op40 at the 1996 Charter rate and   receive besides:  3 months toll free voice, or Email  hotline.  Your special combo fee of $545 is less than the current $675 fee for Op40 alone.  Hotline messages are your daily price source and learning aid, with complete price data for the two SP100 options (one call, one put) whose price action produces the exclusive Trading Edge.  Hotline computes the edge as well!

 

View Table

 

 

More Choices for Systematic Option Trading   Options “40 In 4”, better known by its nick name “Op40”, has been our most popular option system since its first year.  We bring you a monthly update of both the long term (previous page) and short term records  (see above;  latest period, beyond May 26, is not complete, it will be in Rel #946).  Major appeal of Op40 to option traders is that you learn the system, then maintain a measure of control:   you have elbow room to make your own decisions whether to trade or not – depending on size of “TE” (Trading Edge) – and whether to settle for a smaller profit quicker, or try for a  “home run”.  Note in the performance periods above that there were no fewer than 11 opportunities for gains of +55% or better.  Different size profits are in different columns, for an easy scan of the distribution of smaller and larger gains.  What the Op40 logic does not give you is specific entry and exit prices.  If that’s what you prefer, give today’s intro to “Magnetic Bands: Options Connection” a close look.  Ideas for using Op40 and “Mag Bands” together:  1.  If both favor the same option with concurrent signals, commit 1.5 times or even twice your usual $ amount to a trade.  2. If Op40 does not have a tradable signal but “Mag Bands” do:  trade the option choice of the latter as if it were an Op40 choice.   If you have yet to acquire Op40, see special offers on previous page.  If you misplaced your Op40 charter offer, restored briefly from 1996, it’s on  our website www.key-volume.com or call for a Fax:  877-350-3796.  Order toll free:  800-334-0411 x12K or send Email to:   kvshotlines@aol.com.  Welcome to KVS products and services:  our 37th year!

 

Magnetic Bands:  Options Connection   Keep referring to the table with the record on p. 1 as we continue:  What makes Magnetic Bands and Index Options a reliable profit team?  3. Band ranks tend to remain stable for as long as 4 to 5 months. For the entire period from Sep 2005 into June 2006, the table updates done in Rel #939 and #942 remained effective generating option signals:  the earlier table did the job thru most of Jan 2006, and the later table into the current month.  Now the signal source is the new table on page 2 of #945 herewith.  This rank durability will be a special asset to subscribers with do-it-yourself enthusiasm. While signals will come by email, already interpreted, there’ll be those of you who’ll want to recognize them and work with them independently.

 

4. Action Pointers: there are six basic characteristics that generate the signals and associated entry & exit rules.  They lend themselves to a table driven  trading action approach.  Characteristics are conveyed by single letters Q, M, D, R, S and X.  If more than one characteristic applies to the same signal, you see combinations such as QR or MRD.  Action Pointers with their instructions appear alphabetically in a table we call the Trade Map. When you become a Mag Bands Options Connection user, you need to keep your trade map handy, preferably daily.  Using the map, the KVS Email Hotline can inform you of signals easily, concisely, yet completely:  which option, with specific entry & exit instructions.  The hotline also revises exit goals as needed.  5. Quick Turnaround: Options respond promptly to most signals. One or two days of holding is common, 4 days is the limit.  Multiple open trades: infrequent.  6. Basic Math is the only “homework” requirement.  The Trade Map tells you how much to subtract from or add to the signal day’s closing (you know this the evening before entry) for first buy (NORM) and, exceptionally, second buy (Bargain).  The second buy, even if the price is not hit and is therefore [bracketed], is important to the exit formulas, the two most common ones being:  add 50% to bargain buy, and add  90% to bargain buy.

 

How to Order, What You’ll Get, and How Soon  For a 6 month KVS subscription, which brings  one detailed release per month as the one you’re reading, and 4 or 5 emails per week, fee is $279.  For a full year it’s $449. Also includes market timing advice and intro to timing tools. Add $210 one time charge for Mag Band Options Connection rules and Trade Map, by mid July.  Total $489 or $659.  Phone: 800-334-0411 x12M.  Email: kvshotlines@aol.com.  Mail:  Key-Volume Strategies, 46 E Lincoln Ave, White Plains NY 10604. Lower left corner: Attn. Scott, plus special offer code you receive when you phone or email  us. One time charge $210 is waived  for active users of the DTE 2006 system, no longer available to new users because of quota.  Thank you!

 

KEY-VOLUME STRATEGIES INC.                         RELEASE #944  APRIL 2006                                     VOL. 37  NO. 5

Dear Current or Prospective Subscriber or System User:  You’re getting this release 3 or 4 days earlier than those who need to wait for their first class mail.  This enables you to benefit from educational features sooner, and gives you extra time to act on special offers, such as DTE 2006, with a time limit.  We’re pleased that we can now distribute our material by Email, and give Email subscribers an edge.  Thank you for choosing the KVS family of investment products and services!   KVS Staff

 

KVS #944 APRIL 2006:  SPECIFIC ENTRY/EXIT PLAN “DTE 2006” CONTINUES ITS

 SUCCESS.  ALSO FEATURED: “5 MINUTE” TOOL,  AND THE “OP40” SYSTEM

 

You may receive this release with a May postmark, but you are assured of the special Early User’s fee for DTE 2006.  We’re in transition between mailing services.  Our current service Langerfelds’ needs to retire due to circumstances beyond their control.  For over 30 years, Langerfelds’ has played an essential role in KVS promotions and order fulfillment, assembling our mailings and speeding them to investors.  We’ll miss their reliability and dedication  immeasurably, they were “part of the family”. We wish them our very best in their move and retirement.  In their final mailing here for KVS, a large contingent is included with whom we have not communicated for some time.  It would not be fair for anyone on our list to miss the early user special.  Therefore we’ve postponed the price increase to mid May.  We had stated that the reaching of 100 in the count of completed  DTE 2006 trades would trigger the increase.  At mid March the count was 95.  This prompts us to reissue the detailed record from #943 below, as the common basis for all prospective users to make their purchase decision.  The summary line does remind you that thru April 19 the trade count has risen to 114.  When  #945 adds another month, the early user fee will be withdrawn.  Meanwhile the working copy will be shared promptly with new users, and current users have been kept up to date by daily email.   

 

View Table

 

EXPANDED SUMMARY  9/1-4/19:  QUICK SALES  95 GAINS, 19 LOSSES  TOTAL +2655%;   RELAXED: 82 GAINS, 32 LOSSES  TOT +3589%

 

Profit Taking:  Quick or Relaxed?  “DTE 2006” uses a 30% Quick Profit goal, which varies modestly with rounding to executable prices, and by favorable openings.  It’s user’s choice whether to place open sell orders for day 1 and  2 exits, or to be more relaxed about selling and wait till the opening of the next day after the reaching of the quick goal, then sell.  The “relaxed tactic” may earn less gain, because the option has pulled back.  But other  times there is a reward for waiting.  Compare %GAIN totals in the detailed record, as well as on the Expanded Summary line, to help you decide which way you’ll go.

 

DTE 2006  Features & Fees:  Our latest invention, DTE (Daily Trade Email) 2006 owes its good record to the teamwork of two mechanical KVS option tools:  “EOP” (Ease Of Profit formulas) from last year, and the “2 Day Magnet”, a new tool.  DTE 2006 considers call option trades the Prime Direction because of the long term upward bias of the market. Each day it checks for a call signal first, then a put signal if a call does not qualify.  Put trades are flagged by * under  Entry Date.  Your 10 point checklist of features:  1. You get a trade plan for a specific index option for every trading day.  If there’s no new signal, you’re advised that this is the case, and receive only an open position update.  2. Email announcement the evening before entry.

3. No recommendation if  profit outlook is less than +30%.  4. Specific entry price.  5. Specific exit price.  (Continued on p. 4)

 

Favorite of Many Investors Since 1999: The “5 Minute” Tool  To combine day to day timing with large move signals, the "5 Minute" Tool has served investors with a high win ratio in up trends, down trends, and choppy interludes.  The tool has three keys.  How can you get the complete package?  With a KVS subscription or an option system purchase